PnL all-time+$20.5kvol $2.75M
PnL 30d+$2,517gains $2,983 · losses $2,453
PnL 7d+$525win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate83.2%adj 81.9% · 30d 93.5%
Open value$3,000cash n/a
Positions3 / 1,280open / all-time
Max drawdown−70.2%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$17.2kbelow peak −$22.7kOct 12
SharpScore inputs
67/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 83.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity30
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · Yesclosed+$8,375US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? · Yesclosed+$6,326Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$6,258Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$3,302US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? · Noclosed+$1,556
Worst markets
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman? · Yesclosed−$14.7kWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$6,242Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January? · Noclosed−$3,785Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yesopen−$3,597Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3? · Yesclosed−$3,311
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in October? | No | 2,000 | 97.1¢ | 98.6¢ | $1,972 | +$30 | +$4.77 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 9,475 | 41.5¢ | 5.5¢ | $521 | −$3,411 | −$186 | |
| Will Solana reach $190 in October? | No | 511 | 96.1¢ | 99.1¢ | $507 | +$15 | +$0.04 |
Recent trades
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