sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,060

sqaolkytrpoi

0xd6d…98ee
SharpPnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$55.1kvol $3.12M
PnL 30d+$2,786gains $10.3k · losses $10.1k
PnL 7d+$342win rate 7d 57.1%
Win rate56.9%adj 56.6% · 30d 47.2%
Open value$19.6kcash n/a
Positions45 / 2,276open / all-time
Max drawdown−2.3%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 13h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$57.6kbelow peak $0Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

72/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale68
Adjusted win rateraw 56.9% · shrunk toward 50%42
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 45

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes4,80180.1¢87.7¢$4,211+$363+$238
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No3,00083¢83.5¢$2,505+$15+$30
Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?No1,67294.2¢92.5¢$1,547−$29$0
OpenAI IPO before 2027?No1,56971.6¢96.9¢$1,520+$396+$149
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Yes2,01849.6¢52.5¢$1,060+$58$0
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes2,13845¢45.5¢$973+$11$0
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes87040.1¢79.5¢$692+$342+$1,504
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No3,00017¢20¢$600+$90+$70
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No60089¢98.7¢$592+$58$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes4,44418¢10.5¢$467−$334+$220
Iran leadership change by December 31?No49275.8¢89.5¢$441+$67+$257
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes64459.1¢64.5¢$415+$35+$0.30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No40086¢99.2¢$397+$53$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No40082.4¢93.5¢$374+$44+$11
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No37088.4¢93.5¢$346+$19$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No37082.7¢89¢$329+$23+$570
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No44253.4¢64.5¢$285+$49−$1.17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No64340.8¢43.5¢$280+$17+$0.34
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes40083.7¢66.5¢$266−$69−$3.47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No30060.3¢85.5¢$257+$76+$610
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes30069.3¢81¢$243+$35+$36
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes1,17850.6¢19¢$224−$372−$1,284
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes44246.4¢45.5¢$201−$4.04+$4.73
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No22060.2¢84.5¢$186+$53+$1,389
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No40016.2¢45.5¢$182+$117+$53
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Yes1,6655.8¢7.5¢$125+$29$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No10053¢93¢$93+$40+$151
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes1,86922.8¢4.4¢$81−$345−$29
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No8734.4¢84¢$73+$43+$1,122
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No12058¢57¢$68−$1.20$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes40018¢16.5¢$66−$5.80+$0.80
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes37014.2¢16.5¢$61+$8.36−$290
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes7167¢85.5¢$61+$13$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No40035¢14.5¢$58−$82−$0.56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes39817.5¢14.5¢$58−$12+$32
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes27039.5¢20¢$54−$53−$1,071
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes37012.4¢14.5¢$54+$7.70$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No40020.8¢12.3¢$49−$34−$106
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Yes60011¢6.5¢$39−$27$0
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No28833.5¢13.5¢$39−$58−$398
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes40014¢6.5¢$26−$30$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No7132.6¢35.5¢$25+$2.09$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes10046.9¢17¢$17−$30−$77
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No587.4¢97.3¢$4.70+$0.48+$67
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes393¢43.4¢$1.44−$1.65$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesIsraeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?8¢18$1.4057%72Sharp
BUY YesNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?46¢263$12157%72Sharp
BUY YesWill no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?49¢263$12957%72Sharp
BUY YesWill no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?49¢400$19657%72Sharp
BUY YesWill no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?49¢21$1057%72Sharp
BUY YesWill no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?49¢82$4057%72Sharp
BUY YesNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?46¢82$3857%72Sharp
BUY YesWill no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?49¢74$3657%72Sharp
BUY YesNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?46¢74$3457%72Sharp
BUY YesNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?45.5¢400$18257%72Sharp
BUY YesNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?45.3¢330$15057%72Sharp
BUY YesNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?44¢128$5757%72Sharp
BUY YesNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?43¢270$11657%72Sharp
BUY YesNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?42¢35$1557%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?58¢120$7057%72Sharp
BUY YesNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?42¢120$5057%72Sharp
BUY YesIsraeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?8¢12$1.0057%72Sharp
BUY YesNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?43¢14$6.1357%72Sharp
BUY YesIsraeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?7¢141$9.8757%72Sharp
BUY NoIsraeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?93¢141$13157%72Sharp