sharpside
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injailjustvisiting

0xd6f…d7aa@BarraNiash35600
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Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,724vol $378k
PnL 30d−$130gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$83win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate46.8%adj 47.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,484cash n/a
Positions32 / 373open / all-time
Max drawdown−68.3%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,621below peak −$865Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale46
Adjusted win rateraw 46.8% · shrunk toward 50%18
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable86
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity32

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 32

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 2.5Over71245.1¢100¢$712+$391$0
Will US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018 end in a draw?Yes55328.1¢100¢$553+$398$0
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?OpenAI69427.2¢25.6¢$177−$11$0
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes68720¢3.4¢$23−$114$0
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No1373¢94¢$12+$2.73+$26
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?No488¢100¢$4.00+$0.48$0
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes264¢91.5¢$1.83+$0.55$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes162¢40¢$0.40−$0.22$0
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes327¢5.1¢$0.15−$0.66+$22
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Yes113¢1¢$0.01−$0.12$0
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?Yes98734¢0¢$0−$336$0
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Over94632¢0¢$0−$303$0
Will "Software" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No64924¢0¢$0−$156$0
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?Yes45426¢0¢$0−$118$0
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 9PM ETDown39151¢0¢$0−$199$0
Will Once Upon a Farm's market cap be between $800M and $850M at market close on IPO day?No28083¢0¢$0−$232$0
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5Under22234¢0¢$0−$75$0
Will Starmer say "War" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No20319.5¢0¢$0−$40$0
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes18447¢0¢$0−$87$0
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes11335¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?No1009¢0¢$0−$9.00$0
Will "Wake Up Dead Man" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)No9855¢0¢$0−$54$0
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No8658¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No4970.6¢0¢$0−$35$0
Will MrBeast hit 104.5 billion views by December 31? No4310.9¢0¢$0−$4.67−$2.83
Will MrBeast say "Car" or "Supercar" during his next YouTube video?No3574¢0¢$0−$26−$193
Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?Yes1616.7¢0¢$0−$2.65+$14
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes10.9¢0¢$0−$0.01$0
GPT ads by December 31?Yes16.5¢0¢$0−$0.07$0
Will the Brooklyn Nets have the worst record in the NBA?Yes120¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
5kt meteor strike in 2025?Yes111¢0¢$0−$0.11$0
Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?Yes11.4¢0¢$0−$0.01$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?58¢86$5047%38
SELL NoWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?78¢819$63947%38
SELL NoWill Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?89¢83$7447%38
SELL NoWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?46¢412$19047%38
SELL NoWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?32¢532$17047%38
SELL NoWill Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?59¢854$50447%38
SELL NoWill Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?59¢48$2847%38
SELL NoWill there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?91¢699$63647%38
SELL NoT20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Afghanistan Winner1.8¢832$1547%38
BUY NoWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?45¢412$18547%38
BUY NoWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?52¢532$27747%38
BUY NoWill there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?87¢699$60847%38
BUY NoT20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Afghanistan Winner89.9¢832$74847%38
BUY NoWill Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?59¢902$53247%38
SELL NoWill Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?85¢160$13647%38
SELL NoWill Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?87¢279$24347%38
SELL NoWill Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?87¢973$84747%38
SELL NoWill Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?88¢1,016$89447%38
BUY NoWill Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?87¢243$21147%38
BUY NoWill Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?87¢2,268$1,97347%38