PnL all-time−$92vol $79.2k
PnL 30d−$764gains $345 · losses $1,129
PnL 7d+$16win rate 7d 40.0%
Win rate75.4%adj 69.7% · 30d 62.5%
Open value$129cash n/a
Positions10 / 80open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 13h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$160below peak −$1,001Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 75.4% · shrunk toward 50%74
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable63
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Trump praise Allah again by August 31? · Yesclosed+$581Will Trump praise Byron Donalds in September? · Yesclosed+$322Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by August 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$157Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31? · Yesclosed+$12US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Noopen+$8.90
Worst markets
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$440US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Noclosed−$420Will Trump praise Allah again by August 31? · Yesclosed−$130Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yesclosed−$100Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$61
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 133 | 75.4¢ | 69¢ | $92 | −$8.47 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 69 | 72.9¢ | 52¢ | $36 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1 | 99¢ | 96.5¢ | $0.97 | −$0.03 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? | Yes | 10 | 9.8¢ | 6.5¢ | $0.66 | −$0.34 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | No | 1 | 10¢ | 2.7¢ | $0.03 | −$0.07 | +$8.97 | |
| LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 23 | 21.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | −$4.32 | |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | Yes | 18 | 57¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.30 | |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 15 | 66¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.24 | |
| LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch? | Yes | 13 | 75¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.17 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | No | 2 | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.08 | +$3.74 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s