PnL all-time+$23.2kvol $222k
PnL 30d+$4,063gains $3,691 · losses $793
PnL 7d+$775win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate73.4%adj 67.9% · 30d 37.5%
Open value$12.5kcash n/a
Positions8 / 72open / all-time
Max drawdown−44.7%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 11h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$22.8kbelow peak −$403Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
60/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 73.4% · shrunk toward 50%70
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable62
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity55
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? · Yesclosed+$2,450Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$2,449Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? · Yesclosed+$2,218US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Noclosed+$2,130US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,627
Worst markets
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yesclosed−$870Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yesopen−$805Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$702US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · Noclosed−$624Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31? · Yesclosed−$253
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 12.0k | 37.5¢ | 47.5¢ | $5,700 | +$1,204 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 3,500 | 55.8¢ | 66.5¢ | $2,327 | +$374 | $0 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Yes | 8,000 | 37.6¢ | 28¢ | $2,240 | −$767 | −$38 | |
| Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | Yes | 6,188 | 22.4¢ | 24¢ | $1,485 | +$100 | $0 | |
| Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | Yes | 3,662 | 10.8¢ | 12.4¢ | $454 | +$59 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,683 | 33.8¢ | 7.5¢ | $201 | −$704 | +$2.12 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 1,000 | 33.1¢ | 9.5¢ | $95 | −$236 | +$478 | |
| Will USD be at least 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | Yes | 70 | 1¢ | 6.4¢ | $4.48 | +$3.78 | $0 |
Recent trades
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