sharpside
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Traders/Rank #10,961

wxufao68

0xd77…674c
PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$7.91vol $204k
PnL 30d−$101gains $2.98 · losses $0.86
PnL 7d−$21win rate 7d 33.3%
Win rate66.7%adj 53.8% · 30d 33.3%
Open value$1,134cash n/a
Positions30 / 36open / all-time
Max drawdown−11.5%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$104below peak −$115Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale13
Adjusted win rateraw 66.7% · shrunk toward 50%34
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable52
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity89

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 30

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No32689.5¢91.5¢$298+$6.42$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,66712¢11.5¢$192−$8.33$0
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No11091¢97.4¢$107+$7.03$0
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?No11091¢92¢$101+$1.10$0
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes200k0.1¢0.1¢$100−$100$0
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No11190¢89.5¢$99−$0.56$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes12541.6¢42.2¢$53+$0.68−$2.19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No3879¢83.5¢$32+$1.70$0
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No6844.4¢41.5¢$28−$1.97$0
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?Yes2871¢82.5¢$23+$3.24$0
2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?Knafo10728¢18¢$19−$11$0
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Yes7128¢15.5¢$11−$8.94$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No1193¢95.9¢$10+$0.31+$4.76
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No1473¢75¢$10+$0.27$0
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No1194¢93.5¢$9.95−$0.05$0
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No1284¢83.5¢$9.94−$0.06$0
Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?Yes1661¢51.5¢$8.44−$1.56$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?Yes1856¢41.5¢$7.41−$2.59$0
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes1003¢3.4¢$3.35+$0.35$0
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Yes1202.5¢1.6¢$1.86−$1.14$0
French election called by December 31, 2026?Yes375.4¢4.8¢$1.75−$0.25$0
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Yes1032.9¢1.6¢$1.66−$1.34$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?Yes714¢16.5¢$1.18+$0.18$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes1010¢11¢$1.10+$0.10$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes147¢6.5¢$0.93−$0.07$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes138¢5.5¢$0.69−$0.31$0
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Yes137.9¢4.5¢$0.57−$0.43$0
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Yes119¢4.5¢$0.50−$0.50$0
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?No2192.3¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Yes1094.6¢0¢$0−$5.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL UpS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 12?99.9¢8$8.0567%28
BUY YesWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?12¢1,667$20067%28
SELL YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?41.8¢125$5267%28
BUY UpS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 12?62¢8$5.0067%28
BUY YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?56¢18$1067%28
BUY YesZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?14¢7$1.0067%28
SELL YesWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?9¢27$2.4567%28
SELL YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?35¢15$5.1567%28
BUY YesWill EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?61¢16$1067%28
BUY YesWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?11¢27$3.0067%28
BUY YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?34¢15$5.0067%28
BUY YesFrench election called by December 31, 2026?5.4¢37$2.0067%28
BUY YesLecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?28¢71$2067%28
BUY NoWill Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?44.4¢68$3067%28
BUY Knafo2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?28¢107$3067%28
BUY NoRussia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?91¢110$10067%28
BUY NoWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?90¢111$10067%28
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?92¢109$10067%28
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?91¢100$9167%28
BUY YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?41.9¢225$9467%28