sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #4,623

Billy2025

0xd77…24ab
Whale1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$4,035vol $819k
PnL 30d+$123gains $85 · losses $22
PnL 7d+$357win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate48.4%adj 48.8% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$50.0kcash n/a
Positions33 / 95open / all-time
Max drawdown−30.3%of equity peak
Account age2.4ylast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$10.9kbelow peak −$1,417Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

34/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 48.4% · shrunk toward 50%22
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity70

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 33

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes78.7k3.5¢15.1¢$11.8k+$9,057$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes5,98385.2¢96.6¢$5,776+$678$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes47.6k6.2¢10.1¢$4,786+$1,830$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes4,62475.4¢90.5¢$4,185+$700$0
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes2,91782¢89.5¢$2,611+$219$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?Yes2,38779.6¢95.5¢$2,279+$379$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes4,41942.7¢40.8¢$1,805−$84$0
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?No1,75285.6¢96.5¢$1,690+$190$0
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes1,75184.2¢96¢$1,680+$205$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No1,59856.3¢95.5¢$1,526+$626$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No2,15064.7¢64.5¢$1,387−$5.28$0
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes1,55664.3¢88.5¢$1,377+$377$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No1,85362.4¢74¢$1,371+$215−$5.44
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes1,23672.8¢81.5¢$1,007+$107$0
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes4,43319.2¢22.5¢$997+$147$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes31.3k2.4¢3.1¢$954+$215+$34
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes79.6k1.4¢1¢$757−$376$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes67.5k0.7¢1.1¢$709+$209$0
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Yes66782.4¢95.5¢$637+$87$0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes22.8k3¢2.1¢$468−$225$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes1,01943.7¢43¢$438−$7.50$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes47684¢87.5¢$417+$17$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes57960.4¢67.5¢$391+$41$0
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes15.0k1¢1.8¢$263+$113$0
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes41150.3¢54.5¢$224+$17$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes26378¢77.5¢$204−$1.31$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No23730¢38.5¢$91+$20$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes14251¢62.5¢$89+$16$0
Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?Yes50214¢13.3¢$67−$3.28$0
Will Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?Yes1,42470.2¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes1,39441.3¢0¢$0−$575−$58
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?Yes15651.4¢0¢$0−$80−$1.17
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers Oilers13673.5¢0¢$0−$100$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?68¢368$25048%34
BUY YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?41.4¢1,087$45048%34
BUY NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?64¢547$35048%34
BUY NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?65¢218$14248%34
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?56¢57$3248%34
BUY NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?65¢385$25048%34
BUY YesWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?18¢556$10048%34
BUY YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?42.6¢1,174$50048%34
BUY YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?43.5¢2,159$93948%34
BUY NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?65¢1,000$65048%34
SELL NoWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?99.8¢186$18548%34
BUY YesWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?18¢1,111$20048%34
BUY YesWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?19¢789$15048%34
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?49.4¢354$17548%34
SELL YesWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.2¢139k$27948%34
BUY YesWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?20.2¢1,976$40048%34
BUY YesWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1¢15.0k$15048%34
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?78¢263$20548%34
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?30¢237$7148%34
BUY YesWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?44¢750$33048%34