PnL all-time+$2.41Mvol $15.6M
PnL 30d−$1,092gains $19.5k · losses $0
PnL 7d+$337win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate43.5%adj 45.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$2,727cash n/a
Positions7 / 72open / all-time
Max drawdown−11.9%of equity peak
Account age2.9ylast trade 1mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$2.40Mbelow peak −$75.0kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
51/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale91
Adjusted win rateraw 43.5% · shrunk toward 50%13
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable62
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$1.46MRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yesclosed+$601kWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$329kFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting? · Yesclosed+$80.3k2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House · Yesclosed+$57.3k
Worst markets
Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points? · Noclosed−$43.9kWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Noopen−$32.8kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$29.3kUS forces enter Iran by December 31? · Noclosed−$29.0kWill Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader? · Yesclosed−$10.8k
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 999,997 | 0.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $1,500 | −$5,500 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | Yes | 32.1k | 24.2¢ | 3.1¢ | $996 | −$6,787 | −$2,379 | |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 92.6k | 0.8¢ | 0.3¢ | $231 | −$509 | $0 | |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 6 | 2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.01 | −$0.12 | +$252 | |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 121k | 27¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$32.8k | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 19.3k | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$174 | $0 | |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 5,498 | 30.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,680 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s