sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,693

LBZone

0xd81…6b75
WhaleWR 60+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$45.3kvol $39.2M
PnL 30d+$835gains $469 · losses $1,689
PnL 7d−$32win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate62.4%adj 61.9% · 30d 71.4%
Open value$24.9kcash n/a
Positions43 / 15,855open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 39d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$53.9kbelow peak −$73.9kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 62.4% · shrunk toward 50%55
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 43

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No21.1k86.9¢94.6¢$20.0k+$1,614+$3,810
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No2,12276.8¢82.2¢$1,743+$114−$27
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No1,49195.2¢92.7¢$1,382−$37−$358
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No37289.4¢96.6¢$360+$27+$50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes35087¢90.5¢$317+$12+$7.50
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5,55510¢5.1¢$281−$275$0
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?No23586¢98¢$230+$28+$27
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No15992¢97.4¢$155+$8.53$0
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?No15088.6¢97¢$145+$13$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No7192.7¢97.9¢$69+$3.66$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10754¢48.6¢$52−$5.85+$14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo5857¢72.5¢$42+$9.02+$11
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?No4092¢96.4¢$39+$1.74$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes10042¢37.5¢$38−$4.50$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes29717.6¢8.1¢$24−$28$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes6349¢35.5¢$22−$8.51$0
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-06?Yes5040¢32¢$16−$4.00$0
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes4063¢22.5¢$9.00−$16$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes496.2¢15.1¢$7.35+$4.32+$0.09
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes952¢64.5¢$5.83+$1.13$0
Will New York City FC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?Yes1923¢29.5¢$5.67+$1.25+$0.14
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes1204.7¢4.4¢$5.28−$0.32$0
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes1075.2¢48¢$4.88−$2.76−$21
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes5835.2¢7.7¢$4.47−$16+$0.12
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes4,9761.6¢0.1¢$2.49−$77$0
US recession by end of 2026?Yes3728¢6.5¢$2.43−$8.05$0
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes7016.6¢3.4¢$2.37−$9.20+$0.02
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes1001.2¢1.9¢$1.90+$0.70$0
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes1108¢1.4¢$1.54−$7.26$0
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes7951¢0.2¢$1.19−$6.76$0
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes10017.5¢1.2¢$1.15−$16$0
Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes2014¢5.1¢$1.03−$1.77$0
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes5053¢1.9¢$0.95−$26$0
Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes205¢3.9¢$0.77−$0.23$0
Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes5014¢1.5¢$0.72−$6.28$0
Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes598.8¢1.2¢$0.67−$4.50$0
Ventuals FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes465¢1.1¢$0.50−$1.79$0
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes2011¢2.2¢$0.43−$1.77$0
Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Yes505¢0.9¢$0.42−$2.08$0
Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-06?Yes128¢40¢$0.40+$0.12$0
Pacifica FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes204¢1.9¢$0.37−$0.43$0
Betmoar FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes37¢7.5¢$0.24+$0.02+$2.15
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes3520.7¢0.1¢$0.18−$2.29$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?92.8¢223$20762%29
BUY NoWill Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2026?99¢94$9362%29
SELL NoWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?99.9¢3,000$2,99762%29
BUY NoWill Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?87¢99$8662%29
BUY NoWill Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2026?97.5¢148$14462%29
BUY YesAl Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score64¢1,000$64062%29
BUY NoTaiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?96.8¢170$16562%29
SELL NoWill the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?82¢55$4562%29
SELL NoWill Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?15¢14$2.1562%29
SELL NoWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-09?96.1¢2,222$2,13662%29
SELL NoWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-09?96.3¢167$16162%29
SELL YesWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?1.6¢8,697$13962%29
SELL YesLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?2.1¢317$6.5362%29
SELL NoWill RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?74¢698$51762%29
SELL Vit KoprivaInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Vit Kopriva60¢15$9.2362%29
SELL YesWill AC Milan win on 2026-05-10?45¢25$1162%29
SELL OverNew York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.553¢75$4062%29
SELL Texas RangersSpread: New York Yankees (-1.5)59¢120$7162%29
SELL Nottingham Forest FCSpread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)86¢8$6.8862%29
SELL Minnesota TwinsSpread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)38¢8$3.0462%29