sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #4,093

Milksheen

0xd87…dfae
<30d oldOtherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$232vol $67.4k
PnL 30d+$596gains $4,082 · losses $3,863
PnL 7d−$502win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate53.2%adj 52.2% · 30d 53.2%
Open value$21.0kcash n/a
Positions30 / 77open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age24dlast trade 7h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$622below peak −$1,320Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

34/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale34
Adjusted win rateraw 53.2% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable63
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? · Noclosed+$657Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? · Yesclosed+$574Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$470Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? · Yesclosed+$451Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Downclosed+$444

Worst markets

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$809Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? · Noclosed−$501Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? · Yesclosed−$356Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET · Upclosed−$311Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? · Yesclosed−$291

Open positions · 30

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?No3,85176.3¢80¢$3,081+$144$0
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes2,55985.7¢92¢$2,354+$160$0
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes2,85874.6¢69.2¢$1,977−$155$0
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes1,77791.5¢94.3¢$1,676+$51$0
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes1,69385.4¢84.4¢$1,428−$17$0
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes1,18787.3¢85¢$1,009−$28$0
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes1,02494.9¢92.8¢$950−$22$0
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes96688.2¢87.7¢$847−$5.06$0
Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?No1,23051.2¢64.5¢$793+$164$0
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?Yes1,01776.8¢77¢$783+$1.60$0
Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?No87174.4¢72.5¢$631−$17$0
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes58086.4¢96.3¢$558+$57$0
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes1,48333.8¢35.5¢$527+$25$0
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes74539.7¢70.5¢$525+$230+$13
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes3,07121.6¢17¢$522−$142$0
Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?No47182.1¢88¢$415+$28$0
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Yes57159.5¢69.5¢$397+$57$0
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes59545¢61.5¢$366+$98$0
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes44781.6¢81.5¢$365−$0.23$0
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes1,49725.5¢23.5¢$352−$30$0
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes24991.5¢89.4¢$223−$5.11$0
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes1,43215.9¢13.5¢$193−$34$0
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes25881.9¢72¢$186−$25$0
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes36246.2¢45.5¢$165−$2.42$0
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?No26562.1¢59.2¢$157−$7.73$0
Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?No49323.8¢28¢$138+$21$0
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes79710¢12.5¢$100+$20$0
Meta's Watermelon released by October 15, 2026?No18263¢51.5¢$94−$21$0
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes32819¢25¢$82+$20$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes8887¢86.5¢$76−$0.44$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoNext DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?85¢13$1153%34
BUY YesWill the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?35¢13$4.5553%34
BUY NoNext DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?79¢20$1653%34
BUY NoMeta's Watermelon released by October 15, 2026?59¢159$9453%34
BUY YesWill the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?86.9¢454$39553%34
BUY NoNext DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?77.5¢519$40253%34
BUY NoNext DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?81.3¢83$6853%34
BUY NoMeta's Watermelon released by October 15, 2026?55¢5$2.7553%34
BUY NoNext DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?62.5¢341$21353%34
BUY YesWill the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?62.5¢158$9953%34
BUY YesWill the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?73.7¢408$30153%34
BUY YesWill the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?88¢30$2653%34
BUY NoMeta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?23.8¢493$11853%34
BUY NoMeta's Watermelon released by October 15, 2026?63¢182$11553%34
BUY YesWill Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?81.8¢99$8153%34
BUY YesWill Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?78.7¢189$14953%34
BUY NoWill Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?58.9¢80$4753%34
BUY YesNext Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?50.9¢20$1053%34
BUY YesWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?14¢50$7.0053%34
BUY YesNext Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?18¢50$9.0053%34