PnL all-time+$265vol $10.1k
PnL 30d+$43gains $156 · losses $45
PnL 7d−$18win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate68.8%adj 58.3% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$1,174cash n/a
Positions5 / 21open / all-time
Max drawdown−16.2%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 20d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$770below peak −$86Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
33/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale35
Adjusted win rateraw 68.8% · shrunk toward 50%46
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable44
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d32
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity84
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yesopen+$528US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Noclosed+$156Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Noclosed+$46Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Noopen+$33Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Noclosed+$32
Worst markets
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$67Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yesclosed−$45Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Noopen−$16Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yesopen−$12US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$3.00
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1,400 | 6¢ | 41.9¢ | $586 | +$502 | +$26 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 370 | 75¢ | 75¢ | $278 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 217 | 54.3¢ | 69.5¢ | $151 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 200 | 59¢ | 51¢ | $102 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 99 | 70.9¢ | 58.5¢ | $58 | −$12 | $0 |
Recent trades
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