sharpside
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Catfly

0xd8d…0222
PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,882vol $48.0k
PnL 30d−$2,608gains $7.34 · losses $1,921
PnL 7d−$1,095win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate37.5%adj 46.4% · 30d 37.5%
Open value$15.7kcash n/a
Positions17 / 25open / all-time
Max drawdown−98.7%of equity peak
Account age48dlast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$2,275below peak −$2,243Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

14/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 37.5% · shrunk toward 50%16
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable47
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity1

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 17

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes5,30061¢62.5¢$3,313+$80$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3,00086.7¢86¢$2,579−$22+$32
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2,68958.2¢63.5¢$1,708+$143$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes3,20081.6¢51.5¢$1,648−$962$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,60090¢90.5¢$1,448+$8.00$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes6,00015¢13.5¢$810−$90$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,40054¢30.1¢$721−$575$0
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?No1,10033¢65.5¢$721+$358$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No1,01759¢61.5¢$625+$25$0
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes3,50015¢14.5¢$508−$18$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes70058¢61.5¢$431+$25$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes62061.2¢62.5¢$388+$8.10$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes2,50017.2¢13.5¢$338−$93$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No56061.7¢58.5¢$328−$18$0
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Yes1,00032.3¢10.5¢$105−$218$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes1059.5¢40.7¢$4.07−$1.88$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes1033¢12.5¢$1.25−$2.05$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesUS imports Russian diesel by October 31?26¢100$2638%14
BUY YesUS imports Russian diesel by October 31?26¢100$2638%14
BUY YesUS imports Russian diesel by October 31?33¢78$2638%14
BUY YesUS imports Russian diesel by October 31?34¢100$3438%14
BUY YesUS imports Russian diesel by October 31?34¢100$3438%14
BUY YesUS imports Russian diesel by October 31?35¢20$7.0038%14
BUY YesUS imports Russian diesel by October 31?36¢200$7238%14
BUY YesUS imports Russian diesel by October 31?34¢43$1538%14
BUY YesWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?16¢200$3238%14
BUY YesWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?18¢800$14438%14
BUY NoPerim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?33¢1,100$36338%14
BUY YesWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?17¢907$15438%14
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?86.7¢1,138$98638%14
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?86.6¢180$15638%14
SELL NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?15.5¢800$12438%14
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?41.8¢800$33438%14
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?72¢184$13338%14
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?72.3¢1,100$79538%14
BUY YesWill Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?61¢2,664$1,62538%14
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?59¢1,017$60038%14