PnL all-time+$2,763vol $78.7k
PnL 30d−$261gains $461 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$33win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate66.7%adj 55.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$12.3kcash n/a
Positions5 / 14open / all-time
Max drawdown−76.5%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$2,511below peak −$892Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 66.7% · shrunk toward 50%38
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable38
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity24
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Noclosed+$2,424Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yesclosed+$461Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? · Noclosed+$44Netanyahu out by March 31? · Noclosed+$24Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by March 31? · Noclosed+$10
Worst markets
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yesopen−$228Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yesopen−$98Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yesopen−$93Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Noclosed−$89Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Noopen−$63
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7,650 | 74.7¢ | 73.5¢ | $5,623 | −$93 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 3,118 | 83.6¢ | 80.5¢ | $2,510 | −$98 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2,500 | 91¢ | 90.5¢ | $2,263 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 2,365 | 83.2¢ | 80.5¢ | $1,904 | −$63 | $0 | |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 1,075 | 16.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $2.69 | −$173 | −$55 |
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