sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

BamseOgKylling

0xd9e…4cde
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$8,548vol $348k
PnL 30d+$2,080gains $3,717 · losses $454
PnL 7d+$237win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate86.3%adj 82.6% · 30d 93.8%
Open value$39.6kcash n/a
Positions68 / 243open / all-time
Max drawdown−32.3%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 18h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$9,964below peak −$394Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

76/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 86.3% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity68

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 46

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No4,76991.3¢97.2¢$4,635+$281$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes5,20082.9¢80.5¢$4,186−$125+$24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No4,00090.8¢94.5¢$3,780+$150$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No3,40070.5¢82.5¢$2,805+$407+$186
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo2,20091.8¢91.5¢$2,013−$6.00$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No1,90091.8¢93.5¢$1,777+$33$0
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,50090.7¢93.5¢$1,403+$43$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No1,90062.6¢62.5¢$1,188−$2.50$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No1,20093¢96.7¢$1,160+$44+$6.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,20059.3¢85.9¢$1,031+$319+$74
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No1,04595.2¢97.8¢$1,021+$27+$51
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?No1,10480.7¢89.5¢$988+$98$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No1,40069.6¢69.5¢$973−$1.00$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No1,10084.6¢84.5¢$930−$1.50$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes94373.8¢87.2¢$822+$127+$18
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No1,10076.1¢74.5¢$819−$17$0
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No75095.6¢97.5¢$731+$14+$3.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No70088¢95.5¢$669+$53$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No75073.5¢88.5¢$664+$113+$3.75
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No70069¢89.5¢$626+$143+$62
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes70086.4¢86¢$602−$3.00$0
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No70086¢84.5¢$592−$11$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes60087¢90.5¢$543+$21$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No50098.3¢99.7¢$498+$6.75$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes50096.3¢96.8¢$484+$2.50$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes60074¢73.5¢$441−$3.00$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No50071¢85.5¢$427+$72$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No45082.3¢94.5¢$425+$55+$17
Weed rescheduled by December 31?No40075.2¢92.8¢$371+$70$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No50073¢73.5¢$368+$2.50$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No37557¢94.5¢$354+$141+$46
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes40088¢87.5¢$350−$2.00$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No35086¢95.5¢$334+$33+$35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes75064.9¢40¢$300−$187−$358
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes30085¢84.5¢$254−$1.50$0
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes30080¢80.5¢$242+$1.50$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Yes50037¢37.5¢$188+$2.50$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes30061.7¢54.5¢$164−$21$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes20072¢72.5¢$145+$1.00$0
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?No50062¢20.5¢$103−$208$0
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?No10085¢82.5¢$83−$2.50$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes20052¢23.5¢$47−$57$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No10068.4¢45.9¢$46−$23−$89
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes20039¢16.5¢$33−$45$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No1050¢92.2¢$9.21+$4.21$0
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No786.1¢93.7¢$6.74+$0.54$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?46.3¢105$4986%76Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?88¢400$35286%76Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?85¢300$25586%76Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?58¢200$11686%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?74¢600$44486%76Sharp
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?63¢600$37886%76Sharp
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.3¢80$6786%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?92¢345$31786%76Sharp
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?85¢400$34086%76Sharp
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House92¢1,700$1,56486%76Sharp
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?85¢300$25586%76Sharp
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?84¢400$33686%76Sharp
SELL NoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?99.8¢375$37486%76Sharp
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?64¢300$19286%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?86¢700$60286%76Sharp
BUY YesWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?96.3¢500$48286%76Sharp
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?18¢750$13586%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?87¢700$60986%76Sharp
BUY NoWill GameStop acquire eBay?94¢1,300$1,22286%76Sharp
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?95.5¢250$23986%76Sharp