sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,897

FelicityBright

0xda0…61b4
PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$17.4kvol $1.30M
PnL 30d−$11.5kgains $7.84 · losses $6,056
PnL 7d−$2,662win rate 7d 2.8%
Win rate2.7%adj 4.6% · 30d 2.7%
Open value$589cash n/a
Positions21 / 2,551open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 58m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$15.7kbelow peak −$15.8kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 2.7% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · Noclosed+$4.33Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$1.21Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yesclosed+$0.75Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · Noclosed+$0.72Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$0.49

Worst markets

Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$461Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? · Yesclosed−$409Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? · Yesclosed−$265Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? · Noclosed−$122Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$92

Open positions · 21

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?No63993.9¢83.7¢$534−$65$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat?Yes4375.8¢4.7¢$20−$4.85−$17
Will Bukayo Saka win the most Player of the Match awards in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Yes5107.5¢3.7¢$19−$20−$11
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes1357.9¢5.3¢$7.09−$3.58−$1.02
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Yes618¢6¢$3.66−$1.22−$4.88
Will Jarrett Stidham finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes3771.3¢0.5¢$2.07−$2.82−$3.22
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer by October 31, 2026?Yes1561.5¢0.5¢$0.78−$1.56−$6.27
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?Yes1556.5¢0.5¢$0.70−$9.38−$17
Will MrBeast hit 521 million subscribers by October 31?No1,0972.9¢0.1¢$0.55−$32$0
Will Alexia Putellas finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No272.5¢1.1¢$0.28−$0.39−$5.72
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes5501.7¢0.1¢$0.28−$9.17−$0.60
Will Argentina vs. Benin end in a draw?Yes1,1007.7¢0¢$0−$84$0
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes6606¢0¢$0−$40−$0.54
Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in September?Yes4532.7¢0¢$0−$12−$0.76
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.125T by September 30?Yes2082.2¢0¢$0−$4.57$0
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?No2070.5¢0¢$0−$1.04−$1.06
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?Yes1602.1¢0¢$0−$3.36$0
Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026?Yes1452.5¢0¢$0−$3.62−$13
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?Yes1202.1¢0¢$0−$2.51−$7.85
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 30?Yes1102.3¢0¢$0−$2.53−$2.20
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?Yes1002.2¢0¢$0−$2.20$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?4.3¢6$0.263%27
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?4.1¢29$1.193%27
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?4.7¢100$4.703%27
SELL NoWill the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?6.5¢20$1.303%27
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat?3.8¢33$1.243%27
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?90¢6$5.053%27
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat?3.7¢40$1.493%27
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat?3.7¢364$143%27
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat?3.7¢262$9.753%27
SELL NoWill the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?5.5¢20$1.103%27
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat?4¢601$243%27
SELL YesWill Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?5.5¢101$5.593%27
SELL YesWill Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?4.9¢29$1.433%27
SELL YesWill Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?4.9¢34$1.653%27
SELL YesWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?6¢92$5.523%27
SELL YesWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?6¢82$4.923%27
SELL NoWill the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?8¢10$0.803%27
SELL YesWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?6¢40$2.403%27
SELL YesWill Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?5.7¢15$0.863%27
SELL YesWill Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?6¢496$303%27