PnL all-time−$15.9kvol $2.14M
PnL 30d+$528gains $2,519 · losses $1,969
PnL 7d+$454win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate55.7%adj 54.9% · 30d 83.3%
Open value$32.5kcash n/a
Positions8 / 135open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 35d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$12.4kbelow peak −$68.5kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 55.7% · shrunk toward 50%37
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yesclosed+$40.1kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$5,000Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Noclosed+$3,081Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Noopen+$2,850Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$2,531
Worst markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · Noopen−$44.6kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Noclosed−$16.4kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$13.1kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027? · Noopen−$3,000Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · Yesopen−$3,000
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 20.0k | 78¢ | 85.5¢ | $17.1k | +$1,508 | $0 | |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 10.0k | 89¢ | 92¢ | $9,200 | +$300 | +$2,550 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 5,000 | 63¢ | 95.5¢ | $4,775 | +$1,625 | $0 | |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31? | No | 1,489 | 95¢ | 98.5¢ | $1,466 | +$51 | +$78 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | No | 59.7k | 74.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$44.6k | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027? | No | 10.0k | 30¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,000 | $0 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 10.0k | 30¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,000 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | Up | 110 | 22.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$1.35 |
Recent trades
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