sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Unranked

flyingkite

0xda4…d95b
1y+PoliticsOtherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,293vol $253k
PnL 30d+$628gains $587 · losses $179
PnL 7d+$643win rate 7d 85.7%
Win rate51.5%adj 51.2% · 30d 60.0%
Open value$1,354cash n/a
Positions19 / 89open / all-time
Max drawdown−44.5%of equity peak
Account age2.6ylast trade 18h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,476below peak −$756Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

48/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 51.5% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable65
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity56

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

US-China trade deal before June? · Yesclosed+$3,165Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30? · Yesclosed+$888Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? · Yesclosed+$449Will Xi Jinping talk to Trump before May? · Yesclosed+$227Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual? · Yesclosed+$210

Worst markets

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July? · Yesclosed−$1,270Trump x Xi talk by Friday? · Yesclosed−$522Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025? · Noclosed−$277Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by June 30? · Yesclosed−$212Pump.fun market cap (FDV) $6-8B one day after launch? · Yesclosed−$199

Open positions · 19

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Yes30069¢75.5¢$227+$20$0
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?No29547.8¢57.5¢$170+$29$0
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?No28060¢60.5¢$169+$1.40$0
Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?Yes20343.2¢64¢$130+$42+$7.49
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?No16552¢77¢$127+$41$0
Trump Admin held in contempt over press ban by October 31?No15082.3¢78.9¢$118−$5.15$0
Will Marvin Harrison Jr.'s next team be the Houston Texans?Yes10055¢98.9¢$99+$44$0
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 MedTech revenue be above $8.9B?No16868¢54¢$91−$23$0
Will SI.gov launch by October 15?Yes10332¢39.5¢$41+$7.73$0
Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Yes5450¢58.5¢$32+$4.59$0
Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%?Yes6137¢49.5¢$30+$7.63$0
Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 30?Yes2060¢100¢$20+$8.00$0
Will Marvin Harrison Jr.'s next team be the Las Vegas Raiders?No2065.2¢99.8¢$20+$6.91$0
Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?No2082¢95.7¢$19+$2.73$0
Will SI.gov launch by October 31?No8413¢21.5¢$18+$7.14$0
Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $0.8B?Yes2559.7¢56.5¢$14−$0.79+$2.11
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election?Yes2045¢62.5¢$13+$3.50$0
Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 15?Yes2060¢46.5¢$9.30−$2.70$0
Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by October 31, 2026?No1077.5¢79¢$7.92+$0.15$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Hidalgo Congress election?71¢59$4252%48
BUY NoWill Marvin Harrison Jr.'s next team be the Las Vegas Raiders?65.2¢20$1352%48
SELL NoWill a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?95¢121$11552%48
BUY NoSpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?47.8¢295$14152%48
SELL YesWill Wells Fargo (WFC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $0.8B?72¢20$1452%48
BUY YesRussia lifts diesel export ban by October 30?60¢20$1252%48
BUY NoWill Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 MedTech revenue be above $8.9B?68¢168$11452%48
BUY YesNetflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%?37¢61$2352%48
BUY YesWill Wells Fargo (WFC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $0.8B?59.7¢45$2752%48
BUY YesProgressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?43.2¢272$11752%48
BUY YesWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election?45¢20$9.0052%48
BUY YesWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Hidalgo Congress election?42.5¢40$1752%48
BUY NoWill Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15?88¢20$1852%48
BUY NoWill Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?82¢20$1652%48
BUY NoWill Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15?90¢40$3652%48
BUY YesWill Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?50¢50$2552%48
BUY NoWill Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15?89¢20$1852%48
BUY NoWill Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15?92¢20$1852%48
BUY NoWill Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15?89¢30$2752%48
BUY NoWill Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15?91¢100$9152%48