PnL all-time+$105vol $20.9k
PnL 30d−$0.37gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$0.35win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate59.1%adj 54.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$412cash n/a
Positions5 / 27open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.0%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$106below peak −$0.55Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale29
Adjusted win rateraw 59.1% · shrunk toward 50%37
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable48
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Downclosed+$1,113Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? · Noclosed+$668Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6? · Noclosed+$100Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025? · Yesclosed+$15USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? · Yesclosed+$11
Worst markets
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Upclosed−$1,113Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? · Yesclosed−$556Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6? · Yesclosed−$100Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yesclosed−$20Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yesclosed−$11
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 403 | 99.3¢ | 99.9¢ | $402 | +$2.22 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 20 | 56¢ | 48.4¢ | $9.52 | −$1.48 | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | Yes | 80 | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 42 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| US government shutdown in 2025? | No | 14 | 36¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
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