sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,253

pretzel

0xda7…4d41
PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$23.0kvol $3.39M
PnL 30d+$4,973gains $8,514 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$6,829win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate82.1%adj 78.4% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$4,103cash n/a
Positions19 / 176open / all-time
Max drawdown−52.1%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$16.8kbelow peak −$3,127Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 82.1% · shrunk toward 50%96
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity48

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 19

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Yes16.9k11.3¢9¢$1,517−$385$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes12.1k16.2¢9¢$1,092−$872$0
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes5,42945¢16.4¢$888−$1,558+$749
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Yes3,18838.1¢10¢$319−$897$0
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes3,3126.8¢5.3¢$174−$52$0
US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes2,9434¢2.3¢$66−$52$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes1,0355¢4.5¢$47−$5.18$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?Yes1,44129.9¢0.1¢$0.72−$430−$797
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes362¢4.6¢$0.14−$1.72$0
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes52.4k8.1¢0¢$0−$4,269+$3,198
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?Yes23.8k4.6¢0¢$0−$1,085−$14
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes6,07575.1¢0¢$0−$4,561$0
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No4,9340¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?Yes2,42634.6¢0¢$0−$838$0
Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026?Yes2,0970.4¢0¢$0−$9.39$0
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?Yes45515.9¢0¢$0−$72+$1,382
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 31?Yes5070.4¢0¢$0−$35$0
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?Yes432¢0¢$0−$0.86$0
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Yes259.3¢0¢$0−$2.33$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?34.9¢411$14382%69
BUY YesSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?28.1¢1,473$41482%69
BUY YesRussia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?11.3¢16.9k$1,90282%69
BUY YesRussia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026?0.4¢2,097$9.3982%69
BUY YesNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?17¢9,658$1,64282%69
BUY YesNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?8.1¢11.7k$94682%69
BUY YesNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?7.9¢13.5k$1,06482%69
BUY YesNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?7¢8$0.5982%69
BUY YesWill Trump say "No No No" this week?57.8¢316$18282%69
BUY YesAnthony Fauci charged by December 31?36.3¢1,261$45882%69
BUY YesAnthony Fauci charged by December 31?39.1¢1,801$70482%69
BUY NoWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?50.5¢4,934$2,49182%69
BUY YesWill Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?69.8¢1,130$78882%69
BUY YesIran successfully targets shipping on July 31?70.4¢50$3582%69
BUY YesNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?8.3¢30.0k$2,49082%69
BUY YesU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?86.9¢4,818$4,18482%69
BUY YesWill Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?13¢37$4.8182%69
BUY YesWill Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?12.5¢40$4.9882%69
BUY NoWill Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?40¢1,274$51082%69
SELL YesWill Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?50¢2,500$1,25082%69