sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,852

Occasional-Sprout

0xdab…a0ef
WR 60+1y+CryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$3,411vol $91.2k
PnL 30d+$292gains $165 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$15win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate65.1%adj 60.3% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$2,097cash n/a
Positions18 / 61open / all-time
Max drawdown−71.3%of equity peak
Account age3.6ylast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$2,893below peak −$1,494Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 65.1% · shrunk toward 50%51
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity29

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 18

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No1,35073.8¢88.5¢$1,195+$199+$445
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?No1,20366.5¢75¢$902+$102+$322
Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be greater than $420,000 by February 1?Yes3,62720.6¢0¢$0−$747−$197
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?No2,73026¢0¢$0−$710$0
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be greater than $1,100,000 by February 1?Yes2,08220.8¢0¢$0−$433−$0.84
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?No1,71246¢0¢$0−$788+$75
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6AM ETDown8552.3¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes70038¢0¢$0−$266−$4.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETUp1303.1¢0¢$0−$4.00−$6.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETDown11135.9¢0¢$0−$40$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETDown7020¢0¢$0−$14$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETUp4123.1¢0¢$0−$9.50$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp4020¢0¢$0−$8.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETUp3517.1¢0¢$0−$6.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETDown3010¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.19
Will the 2026 State of the Union have between 43M and 45M viewers?Yes3028.7¢0¢$0−$8.60$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETDown2511.8¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETUp119¢0¢$0−$1.00−$1.49

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoInk FDV above $1B one day after launch?91¢1,510$1,37465%30
SELL NoInk FDV above $1B one day after launch?91¢331$30265%30
SELL NoOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?81¢499$40565%30
SELL NoOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?89¢616$54965%30
SELL NoOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?89¢822$73165%30
SELL NoMetamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?93.4¢1,875$1,75265%30
BUY BelgiumUnited States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance48¢69$3365%30
BUY BelgiumUnited States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance46¢37$1765%30
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET10¢30$3.0065%30
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET1¢500$5.0065%30
BUY YesWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?38¢700$26665%30
SELL NoGenius FDV above $200M one day after launch?5¢250$1265%30
SELL NoGenius FDV above $100M one day after launch?1.5¢799$1265%30
BUY NoGenius FDV above $100M one day after launch?26¢4$1.1665%30
BUY NoGenius FDV above $200M one day after launch?60.4¢9$5.7065%30
BUY NoGenius FDV above $100M one day after launch?25¢9$2.2765%30
SELL NoVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?84¢29$2465%30
SELL NoBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?96.1¢460$44265%30
SELL NoBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?96.2¢460$44265%30
BUY NoPuffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?66.5¢1,203$80065%30