PnL all-time+$749vol $46.0k
PnL 30d+$704gains $147 · losses $160
PnL 7d+$443win rate 7d 33.3%
Win rate56.7%adj 55.8% · 30d 57.1%
Open value$3,146cash n/a
Positions9 / 137open / all-time
Max drawdown−44.5%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1,940below peak −$294Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale41
Adjusted win rateraw 56.7% · shrunk toward 50%39
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity56
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? · Noclosed−$120Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30? · Metaclosed−$115OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15? · Noclosed−$80OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31? · Noclosed−$60Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million? · Noclosed−$56
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31? | Microsoft | 2,728 | 38.2¢ | 73.5¢ | $2,005 | +$963 | +$349 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 400 | 74.9¢ | 74.5¢ | $298 | −$1.50 | $0 | |
| OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31? | Meta | 200 | 82.7¢ | 93¢ | $186 | +$21 | +$78 | |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | No | 185 | 73¢ | 91.5¢ | $169 | +$34 | +$50 | |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 230 | 53¢ | 68.5¢ | $157 | +$36 | −$5.84 | |
| Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October? | Yes | 120 | 92¢ | 93.5¢ | $113 | +$1.81 | $0 | |
| Will AI solve Beal's conjecture in 2026? | No | 130 | 79¢ | 86.5¢ | $113 | +$9.76 | +$26 | |
| Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October? | Yes | 100 | 94¢ | 95.3¢ | $95 | +$1.25 | $0 | |
| Muse Charm released by December 15, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 50¢ | 46.5¢ | $9.30 | −$0.70 | $0 |
Recent trades
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