sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,316

CosmicCedar

0xdac…3c74
SharpPnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$19.9kvol $3.17M
PnL 30d−$3,113gains $10.5k · losses $3,678
PnL 7d+$4,482win rate 7d 86.8%
Win rate90.1%adj 88.5% · 30d 90.1%
Open value$23.6kcash n/a
Positions1,812 / 5,949open / all-time
Max drawdown−48.6%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$29.3kbelow peak −$6,164Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

74/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale61
Adjusted win rateraw 90.1% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity51

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No6,00076¢84.5¢$5,070+$510$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?No1,98089.9¢96¢$1,901+$121$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?No1,50887¢94.5¢$1,425+$113$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?No1,43372¢92.5¢$1,325+$294$0
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?Yes2,38975¢50¢$1,193−$599$0
Will Trump say "Dictionary" this week?Yes95498.5¢96.6¢$922−$18$0
Will Canada participate in Eurovision 2027?Yes87194.1¢96.5¢$840+$20+$0.53
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?No82998¢99.4¢$824+$12$0
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Yes2,47022.7¢25¢$618+$58$0
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?No60094.3¢93.2¢$559−$6.90$0
Will Cleveland Guardians advance to the ALCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?No79082¢70¢$553−$95−$25
Will Jaxson Dart finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?No39691.3¢99.2¢$393+$31$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 8, 2026?No39291.9¢99.3¢$390+$29$0
Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?Yes44878.4¢87¢$390+$38$0
Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 8?No36663.5¢87¢$318+$86−$0.46
Will downtown LA's 100°F streak last exactly five days?Yes27187¢98.1¢$266+$30+$67
Will LSU have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No28377.4¢86¢$243+$24$0
Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2026-27 Vezina Trophy?No27079.3¢89.6¢$242+$28−$12
Will Mississippi State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes22177.6¢98.9¢$219+$47$0
Will Brandon Hagel record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?No24043.5¢81.5¢$196+$91+$1.06
Will Auston Matthews record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?Yes37634.3¢51¢$192+$63+$13
Will Wake Forest have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes18692.6¢96.2¢$179+$6.79$0
Will Auston Matthews record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?No38041¢43.5¢$165+$9.50$0
Will Landskrona BoIS win the 2026 Superettan (Sweden)?No26199.6¢62.6¢$164−$97$0
Will Rutgers have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No15694.8¢97.6¢$152+$4.27$0
Will the season series between the Bills and Patriots end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes29152.3¢52¢$151−$0.98$0
Will Notre Dame have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes15191.9¢96.4¢$146+$6.81$0
Will Wake Forest have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes16045¢86.5¢$138+$66$0
Will Clemson have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No12792¢91.5¢$116−$0.64$0
Will the season series between the Bengals and Steelers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes16829.3¢63.5¢$107+$57$0
Will Chengdu Rongcheng win Chinese Super League?Yes10799¢98.2¢$105−$0.89$0
Will Florida State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No12283¢82.5¢$101−$0.61$0
Will Vanderbilt have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No10172.2¢96.5¢$97+$24$0
Will the Boston Bruins record 100+ points?No12065.2¢81¢$97+$19$0
Will Wake Forest have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes10190¢92.5¢$93+$2.52$0
Will the Baltimore Ravens win more than 11.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?O 11.518411.7¢49.4¢$91+$69+$158
Will Jaxson Dart be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No8899¢99.3¢$88+$0.26$0
Will Carnell Tate be the first WR to 1,000 receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No8899¢99.3¢$88+$0.22$0
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No8899¢97.7¢$86−$1.19$0
Will Brian Thomas Jr. be the first WR to 1,000 receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No8899¢97¢$86−$1.76$0
Will Chris Godwin be the first WR to 1,000 receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No8899¢95.5¢$84−$3.13$0
Will Cole Caufield record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?Yes12924¢62.5¢$81+$50$0
Will Clavicular visit North Korea in 2026?No8094¢99.3¢$79+$4.24−$8.80
Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Chargers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes20219.7¢38¢$77+$37+$10
Will Layne Sleeth reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?No8083¢95.5¢$76+$10$0
Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes14551.3¢50¢$72−$1.93$0
Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 12?Yes16037¢43.5¢$70+$10$0
Will Georgia Tech have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No10049¢69.5¢$70+$21$0
Will the Chargers win the season series against the Chiefs during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes24816.4¢27¢$67+$26$0
Will the New York Islanders record 80+ points?Yes9449.4¢68.5¢$65+$18$0
Will Oregon State have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes6295¢96.1¢$59+$0.65$0
Will Ben Rice lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in RBI?No6099¢96.5¢$58−$1.53$0
Will Stanford have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No6579¢87¢$57+$5.20$0
Will Michael Harris II lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in hits?No6099¢90¢$54−$5.40$0
Will William Contreras lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in runs scored?No6099¢90¢$54−$5.40$0
Will Martin Necas record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?No6076¢89.5¢$54+$8.10$0
Will Auburn have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No6063.3¢88.5¢$53+$15$0
Will William Contreras lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in hits?No5599¢90¢$50−$4.95$0
Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Yes851.9¢56.5¢$48+$47$0
Will Purdue have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No6581¢72.5¢$47−$5.52$0
Will Rutgers have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No5092¢91.5¢$46−$0.25$0
Will Stanford have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No6864¢64¢$44$0$0
Will Augustus Ge reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?No5089¢85¢$43−$2.00$0
Will UCLA have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes4190¢98.9¢$41+$3.65$0
Will Jaxson Dart have 19.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No4193.9¢96.8¢$40+$1.19$0
Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 2.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes4073¢98.1¢$39+$10$0
Will Zoey Weil reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?No4194¢95¢$39+$0.39$0
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes4478¢88¢$39+$4.40$0
Will Cailyn Campbell reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?No4091.5¢90¢$36−$0.60$0
Will Sahra Dennehy reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?No4090¢89.5¢$36−$0.20$0
Will Milan Rane reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?No4087¢87.4¢$35+$0.14$0
Will Jalina Ingram reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?No4089¢85.5¢$34−$1.40$0
Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 16?Yes6054¢56.5¢$34+$1.50$0
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?No6071¢56.5¢$34−$8.70$0
Will the season series between the Cardinals and 49ers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No4947.7¢66¢$33+$9.02$0
Will Colorado State have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes12033¢26.5¢$32−$7.80$0
Will Auston Matthews record 100+ points?No3850¢84¢$32+$13$0
Will BYU have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No3665.8¢81¢$29+$5.48$0
Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 9?Yes12027.5¢24¢$29−$4.25+$12
Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 6?No3371.9¢87¢$29+$5.01−$2.97
Will Chicago White Sox advance to the ALCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?Yes4060¢71¢$28+$4.40$0
Will Elias Pettersson (2004) record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?No2991.3¢98.8¢$28+$2.14+$2.36
Will Dak Prescott have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes4041¢69.5¢$28+$11$0
Will Andrei Vasilevskiy record 4+ shutouts?No6112¢45.5¢$28+$20$0
Will the season series between the Cowboys and Giants end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes4349¢63¢$27+$6.02$0
Will Tarik Skubal lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?Yes1000.9¢26¢$26+$25$0
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be the next Prime Minister of Greece?No2596¢97.6¢$25+$0.40$0
Will the Republicans win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes4077¢60.5¢$24−$6.60$0
Will Linus Ullmark record 4+ shutouts?No4543.8¢53.5¢$24+$4.38$0
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?Yes8506.1¢2.8¢$24−$28$0
Will Iowa have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes2579¢92¢$23+$3.25$0
Will Jesper Wallstedt record 4+ shutouts?No4012¢57¢$23+$18$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 9, 2026?No2594.9¢90.1¢$22−$1.18$0
Will Dak Prescott have 30.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No4058¢53.5¢$21−$1.80$0
Will Utah State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?U 4.52979¢70¢$20−$2.61$0
Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 10?Yes7045.4¢27.5¢$19−$12−$0.78
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?Yes2024¢94.4¢$19+$14$0
Will Anna Bright reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?No302¢60.1¢$18+$17$0
Will Yandy Díaz lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in runs scored?No2081¢89¢$18+$1.60$0
Will Dylan Guenther record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?No2070¢87.4¢$17+$3.48$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Trump say "Dictionary" this week?98.5¢954$94090%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Science Summit remarks?99.7¢2,000$1,99490%74Sharp
BUY NoWill the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 9, 2026?94.9¢25$2390%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Science Summit remarks?89¢30$2790%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Jackson Merrill lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in stolen bases?99.9¢100$10090%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Fernando Tatis Jr. lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?99.9¢55$5590%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Matt Olson lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in hits?99.9¢5$5.0090%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Ben Rice lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in hits?99.9¢83$8390%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Jackson Merrill lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in hits?99.9¢104$10490%74Sharp
SELL YesWill Gerrit Cole lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?0.1¢5$0.0190%74Sharp
SELL YesWill Will Warren lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?0.1¢5$0.0190%74Sharp
SELL YesWill Cam Schlittler lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?0.1¢5$0.0190%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Robbie Ray lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?99¢60$5990%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Tyler Mahle lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?99¢21$2190%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Michael King lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?99¢60$5990%74Sharp
BUY YesWill downtown LA's 100°F streak last exactly five days?98.9¢212$21090%74Sharp
SELL YesWill downtown LA's 100°F streak last exactly six days?0.1¢20$0.0290%74Sharp
SELL YesWill downtown LA's 100°F streak last exactly four days?0.1¢20$0.0290%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Samad Taylor hit a home run in the 2026 NLDS?99¢10$9.9090%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Freddy Fermin hit a home run in the 2026 NLDS?99¢10$9.9090%74Sharp