Traders/Rank #16,043

jckc

0xdad…2b35

WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Crypto

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$591vol $116k

PnL 30d−$29gains $375 · losses $753

PnL 7d+$87win rate 7d 90.5%

Win rate97.4%adj 95.6% · 30d 97.4%

Open value$284cash n/a

Positions101 / 1,595open / all-time

Max drawdown−95.5%of equity peak

Account age2molast trade 14h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$178below peak −$1,161Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

48/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 97.4% · shrunk toward 50%100

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity5

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026? · Yesopen+$89 Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026? · Yesclosed+$19 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Upclosed+$14 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET · Upclosed+$7.65 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET · Upclosed+$6.95

Worst markets

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET · Upopen−$351 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET · Upclosed−$201 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET · Downopen−$201 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET · Downopen−$201 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET · Upopen−$200

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	Yes	198	30.3¢	75¢	$149	+$89	$0	51m
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	386	38.8¢	35¢	$135	−$15	$0	3mo
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	786	7.6¢	0¢	$0	−$60	−$3.88	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	372	94.1¢	0¢	$0	−$350	−$1.44	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	213	94¢	0¢	$0	−$200	−$0.84	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	211	95¢	0¢	$0	−$200	−$0.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	206	97¢	0¢	$0	−$200	−$0.42	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	200	14¢	0¢	$0	−$28	−$1.69	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	147	34¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$2.31	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	125	40¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$2.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	119	50.3¢	0¢	$0	−$60	−$2.09	ended
Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	117	51.3¢	0¢	$0	−$60	−$2.04	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	111	54¢	0¢	$0	−$60	−$1.93	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	109	55¢	0¢	$0	−$60	−$1.89	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	102	58.8¢	0¢	$0	−$60	−$1.73	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	102	59¢	0¢	$0	−$60	−$1.72	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	101	59.1¢	0¢	$0	−$60	−$1.72	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	99	57¢	0¢	$0	−$56	−$1.69	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	98	61¢	0¢	$0	−$60	−$1.64	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	98	61.2¢	0¢	$0	−$60	−$1.63	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	97	62¢	0¢	$0	−$60	−$1.60	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	96	81.3¢	0¢	$0	−$78	−$1.00	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	93	43.1¢	0¢	$0	−$40	−$1.59	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	87	52¢	0¢	$0	−$45	−$16	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	81	98¢	0¢	$0	−$79	−$0.11	ended
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	80	99¢	0¢	$0	−$79	−$0.06	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	77	65¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$1.23	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	74	74.6¢	0¢	$0	−$55	−$0.94	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	74	68¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$1.12	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	70	57¢	0¢	$0	−$40	−$1.20	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	70	99¢	0¢	$0	−$69	−$0.05	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	68	59¢	0¢	$0	−$40	−$1.15	ended
Solana Up or Down - September 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	67	78.8¢	0¢	$0	−$53	−$0.78	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	67	75¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$0.88	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	66	76¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$0.84	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	66	61¢	0¢	$0	−$40	−$1.09	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	65	77¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$0.81	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	65	77¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$0.81	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	65	62¢	0¢	$0	−$40	−$1.06	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	64	78.5¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$0.75	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	63	80¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$0.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	62	80.7¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$0.68	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	61	89.6¢	0¢	$0	−$55	−$0.39	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	60	67¢	0¢	$0	−$40	−$0.92	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	58	86¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$0.49	ended
Solana Up or Down - September 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	58	86.2¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$0.48	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	58	86.2¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$0.48	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	57	76.3¢	0¢	$0	−$44	−$25	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	57	83.2¢	0¢	$0	−$48	−$4.67	ended
Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	55	40¢	0¢	$0	−$22	−$0.92	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	55	64¢	0¢	$0	−$35	−$0.88	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	53	94¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$0.21	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	53	57¢	0¢	$0	−$30	−$0.90	ended
Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	52	58¢	0¢	$0	−$30	−$0.88	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	51	79¢	0¢	$0	−$40	−$0.59	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	51	98¢	0¢	$0	−$49	−$0.07	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	45	59.9¢	0¢	$0	−$27	−$0.76	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	45	67¢	0¢	$0	−$30	−$0.69	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	44	68¢	0¢	$0	−$30	−$0.67	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	43	70¢	0¢	$0	−$30	−$0.63	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	43	70¢	0¢	$0	−$30	−$0.63	ended
Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	43	70¢	0¢	$0	−$30	−$0.63	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	42	66¢	0¢	$0	−$28	−$0.67	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	41	69¢	0¢	$0	−$28	−$0.61	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	39	72¢	0¢	$0	−$28	−$0.55	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	36	83¢	0¢	$0	−$30	−$0.36	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	36	84¢	0¢	$0	−$30	−$0.34	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	35	98¢	0¢	$0	−$35	−$0.05	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	35	81¢	0¢	$0	−$28	−$0.37	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	32	88¢	0¢	$0	−$28	−$0.24	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	32	71.4¢	0¢	$0	−$22	−$0.45	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	31	89¢	0¢	$0	−$28	−$0.22	ended
Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	17	81¢	0¢	$0	−$14	−$0.19	ended
Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	17	83¢	0¢	$0	−$14	−$0.17	ended
Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	16	88¢	0¢	$0	−$14	−$0.12	ended
Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	16	89¢	0¢	$0	−$14	−$0.11	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	15	69¢	0¢	$0	−$10	−$0.23	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	15	71¢	0¢	$0	−$10	−$0.21	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	14	75¢	0¢	$0	−$11	−$0.18	ended
Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	13	80¢	0¢	$0	−$11	−$0.15	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	13	81¢	0¢	$0	−$10	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	13	82¢	0¢	$0	−$10	−$0.13	ended
Solana Up or Down - September 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	8	66¢	0¢	$0	−$5.00	−$0.12	ended
Solana Up or Down - September 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	6	86¢	0¢	$0	−$5.00	−$0.05	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	5	94¢	0¢	$0	−$5.00	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	5	95¢	0¢	$0	−$5.00	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	5	96¢	0¢	$0	−$5.00	$0	ended
Solana Up or Down - September 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	5	59¢	0¢	$0	−$3.00	−$0.09	ended
Solana Up or Down - September 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	5	77¢	0¢	$0	−$3.85	−$0.06	ended
Solana Up or Down - September 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	4	67¢	0¢	$0	−$3.00	−$0.07	ended
Solana Up or Down - September 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	4	67¢	0¢	$0	−$3.00	−$0.07	ended
Solana Up or Down - September 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	4	69¢	0¢	$0	−$3.00	−$0.07	ended
Solana Up or Down - September 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	4	75¢	0¢	$0	−$3.00	−$0.05	ended
Solana Up or Down - September 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	4	79¢	0¢	$0	−$3.00	−$0.04	ended
Solana Up or Down - September 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	4	80¢	0¢	$0	−$3.00	−$0.04	ended
Solana Up or Down - September 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	4	82¢	0¢	$0	−$3.00	−$0.04	ended
Solana Up or Down - September 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	4	84¢	0¢	$0	−$3.00	−$0.03	ended
Solana Up or Down - September 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	3	86¢	0¢	$0	−$3.00	−$0.03	ended
Solana Up or Down - September 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	3	88¢	0¢	$0	−$3.00	−$0.03	ended
Solana Up or Down - September 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	3	89¢	0¢	$0	−$3.00	−$0.02	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
14h ago	SELL Yes	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	89.2¢	198	$177	97%	48
2d ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	92¢	54	$50	97%	48
2d ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	99¢	50	$50	97%	48
2d ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	99¢	15	$15	97%	48
2d ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	98¢	102	$100	97%	48
2d ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	99¢	50	$50	97%	48
2d ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	99¢	20	$20	97%	48
2d ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	99¢	50	$50	97%	48
2d ago	BUY Up	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	99¢	50	$50	97%	48
2d ago	BUY Down	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	99¢	5	$4.95	97%	48
2d ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	98.8¢	50	$50	97%	48
2d ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	99¢	50	$50	97%	48
2d ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	98.7¢	50	$50	97%	48
2d ago	BUY Up	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	99¢	2	$1.92	97%	48
2d ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	99¢	50	$50	97%	48
2d ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	99¢	50	$50	97%	48
2d ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	99¢	50	$50	97%	48
2d ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	99¢	50	$50	97%	48
2d ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	99¢	101	$100	97%	48
2d ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	98¢	51	$50	97%	48