sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #2,719

IceWindL

0xdae…e440
SharpPnL 10k+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$16.0kvol $631k
PnL 30d−$1,039gains $627 · losses $41
PnL 7d−$154win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate68.1%adj 66.7% · 30d 77.8%
Open value$11.6kcash n/a
Positions41 / 274open / all-time
Max drawdown−19.9%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 8h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$14.8kbelow peak −$3,398Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

73/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 68.1% · shrunk toward 50%67
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity80

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 41

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No4,04367.6¢64.5¢$2,608−$126$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No4,58041.1¢42.5¢$1,947+$65$0
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No1,94085.2¢87.5¢$1,697+$44$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No1,35888¢94.5¢$1,283+$88+$106
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8,56127.2¢14.9¢$1,271−$1,055$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,02486¢80.5¢$824−$57$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No3,11126.2¢24.5¢$762−$52+$3.55
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes1,28649.6¢37.5¢$482−$156+$13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No1,91317.3¢13.5¢$258−$74$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes25595¢93.5¢$238−$3.83$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?No1,9856.5¢4.4¢$87−$42−$8.61
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes8063¢88.4¢$71+$20$0
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Yes4136¢31¢$13−$2.07$0
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Yes5728¢10.5¢$5.94−$9.90$0
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Yes1026¢27¢$2.62+$0.10$0
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?No1917¢0.2¢$0.38−$13$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes2,5627¢0¢$0−$178$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No2,40125.4¢0¢$0−$609$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No1,5687.6¢0¢$0−$119+$93
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?Yes1,51011.4¢0¢$0−$172−$0.32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No1,40114.4¢0¢$0−$202$0
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No1,32614¢0¢$0−$186−$2.80
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?No1,1848.2¢0¢$0−$97$0
Iran leadership change by August 31?Yes9976¢0¢$0−$60$0
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?Yes8567¢0¢$0−$60−$1.67
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No83330¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?Yes7902.6¢0¢$0−$21−$0.80
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026?No69746.4¢0¢$0−$323−$103
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No49830¢0¢$0−$149$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes46221¢0¢$0−$97$0
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes42940.1¢0¢$0−$172$0
Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?Yes42516¢0¢$0−$68−$2.85
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes3964.3¢0¢$0−$17$0
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Croatia?Yes3437¢0¢$0−$24−$0.67
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes3227.6¢0¢$0−$25$0
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany30615¢0¢$0−$46−$1.17
Will Israel vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?Yes24712¢0¢$0−$30−$1.30
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes23033¢0¢$0−$76$0
Will Republic of Ireland vs. Israel end in a draw?No15828¢0¢$0−$44−$1.59
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Over15220.2¢0¢$0−$31−$0.73
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No13046¢0¢$0−$60$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?94¢1,358$1,27668%73Sharp
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?94¢1,769$1,66368%73Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?89¢84$7568%73Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?89¢251$22468%73Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?89¢137$12268%73Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?89¢45$4068%73Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?89¢8$6.6868%73Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?89¢7$6.3568%73Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?89¢469$41868%73Sharp
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?20¢115$2368%73Sharp
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?20¢115$2368%73Sharp
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?21¢326$6868%73Sharp
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?19¢336$6468%73Sharp
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?4¢345$1468%73Sharp
SELL NoWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?98.1¢222$21768%73Sharp
SELL NoWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?98.1¢222$21768%73Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?87¢18$1668%73Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?88¢12$1068%73Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?88¢28$2468%73Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?88¢133$11768%73Sharp