PnL all-time−$10vol $18.9k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate45.5%adj 48.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$180cash n/a
Positions6 / 17open / all-time
Max drawdown−53.1%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$441below peak −$531Oct 15
SharpScore inputs
15/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 45.5% · shrunk toward 50%21
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable41
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity47
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Iran closes its airspace by May 7? · Yesclosed+$151Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET · Upclosed+$12Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET · Upclosed+$9.13Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Downclosed+$0.25Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET · Upclosed+$0.01
Worst markets
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | No | 1,250 | 12¢ | 11.5¢ | $144 | −$6.25 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? | No | 645 | 3.1¢ | 2.8¢ | $18 | −$1.93 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | No | 182 | 11¢ | 9¢ | $16 | −$3.64 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 375 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $1.31 | −$0.19 | $0 |
Recent trades
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