PnL all-time+$363kvol $39.5M
PnL 30d−$14.1kgains $0.96 · losses $7,008
PnL 7d−$14.1kwin rate 7d 33.3%
Win rate44.3%adj 44.7% · 30d 25.0%
Open value$1,000cash n/a
Positions2 / 302open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 6d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$210kbelow peak −$8,119Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale79
Adjusted win rateraw 44.3% · shrunk toward 50%12
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable83
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d78
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$516kUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · Yesclosed+$336kWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Noclosed+$178kStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yesclosed+$39.4kUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$19.2k
Worst markets
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? · Noclosed−$317kWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Noclosed−$212kStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Noclosed−$39.1kWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? · Yesclosed−$19.5kUS strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? · Noclosed−$19.4k
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1,000 | 50¢ | 99.9¢ | $999 | +$499 | $0 | |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1,000 | 50¢ | 0.2¢ | $1.50 | −$499 | $0 |
Recent trades
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