sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

hochnaesigezicke

0xdbf…b9cc
SharpWR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$8,656vol $718k
PnL 30d+$2,445gains $3,443 · losses $2,601
PnL 7d+$521win rate 7d 62.1%
Win rate69.2%adj 67.9% · 30d 66.4%
Open value$6,698cash n/a
Positions279 / 590open / all-time
Max drawdown−10.9%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 40m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$9,109below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

75/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 69.2% · shrunk toward 50%70
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity89

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No3,20050¢98.4¢$3,147+$1,547$0
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes63353.4¢76.5¢$484+$146+$1,479
Will FW be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No48197.9¢96.1¢$463−$8.75$0
Will FW be in the next Berlin state government?No41596.3¢97.9¢$406+$6.63$0
Will CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No26896¢95.3¢$256−$1.79$0
Will BSW be in the next Berlin state government?No21994.9¢96.6¢$211+$3.56$0
Will FDP be in the next Berlin state government?No19592.2¢97.4¢$190+$10$0
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes26732.2¢62.5¢$167+$81$0
Will FDP be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No13997.5¢97.9¢$136+$0.54$0
Will FDP be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No14099.3¢95.8¢$134−$5.00+$0.02
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No11876.9¢99.4¢$117+$26$0
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No13082.8¢87.5¢$114+$6.16$0
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No13083.7¢82.4¢$107−$1.76$0
Will BSW be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No10997¢96.9¢$106−$0.16$0
Will Grüne be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No11480.3¢85.2¢$97+$5.58−$36
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes11030.3¢57¢$63+$29+$138
Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No22463.6¢25.5¢$57−$85−$5.16
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3,20050¢1.7¢$53−$1,547$0
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No5668.6¢75.7¢$42+$3.99$0
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes25715.3¢15.2¢$39−$0.23$0
Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?No12010¢31¢$37+$25+$11
Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?No4676.1¢80¢$37+$1.80+$5.64
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No3685¢86.5¢$31+$0.54−$175
Will Austria participate in Eurovision 2027?Yes3192.8¢95.5¢$30+$0.84$0
Will AfD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No3094.9¢90.6¢$27−$1.30$0
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No2595.2¢98.3¢$25+$0.76−$122
Will Grüne be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Yes2046¢92.8¢$19+$9.40$0
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes5625.4¢27¢$15+$0.91+$87
Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes1,3726.6¢0.8¢$10−$80−$3.41
Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?No518.4¢19.8¢$10+$5.83$0
Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Yes21919¢3.8¢$8.34−$33−$48
Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No1827¢45.4¢$8.16+$3.30$0
Will CDU be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Yes9071¢9¢$8.10−$56+$2.92
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes4014.5¢15.2¢$6.09+$0.27+$137
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?No3004.3¢2¢$5.85−$7.15$0
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes4017¢13.5¢$5.40−$1.40+$186
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No580.2¢97.1¢$5.16+$0.90−$189
Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?No303¢16.6¢$4.96+$4.08+$23
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes1810.2¢2.6¢$4.71+$4.34$0
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No482.4¢98.8¢$4.05+$0.67−$31
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes1840.5¢1.5¢$2.76+$1.84+$89
Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Yes2958.5¢8.5¢$2.46−$14−$35
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No278.2¢84.9¢$1.39+$0.11−$106
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No285.2¢80.5¢$1.34−$0.08−$35
Will Steffen Krach be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes1,3081.2¢0.1¢$0.65−$15+$30
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Yes25.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?Yes23.9k0.6¢0¢$0−$152−$0.54
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Yes18.9k0.2¢0¢$0−$38$0
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Yes15.3k0.1¢0¢$0−$21−$2.11
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes13.1k0.2¢0¢$0−$28+$90
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Yes12.5k0.5¢0¢$0−$63+$866
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?Yes12.5k0.1¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes12.1k0.1¢0¢$0−$12−$0.94
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes11.6k0.1¢0¢$0−$12−$0.58
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes11.3k0.8¢0¢$0−$88+$86
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes10.7k0.2¢0¢$0−$21−$0.14
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?No10.7k0.9¢0¢$0−$100−$5.70
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes10.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes8,8620.1¢0¢$0−$8.85−$0.44
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes6,9610.7¢0¢$0−$52+$73
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes6,7050.1¢0¢$0−$6.70$0
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?Yes6,4790.2¢0¢$0−$9.95$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes6,1490.7¢0¢$0−$42−$1.88
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Yes5,3420.1¢0¢$0−$5.34+$2.32
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes4,7670.2¢0¢$0−$9.53−$0.48
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes4,6452.6¢0¢$0−$121−$5.91
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?Yes4,3530.7¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Yes4,1110.2¢0¢$0−$7.18+$2,640
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes4,0400.1¢0¢$0−$4.04−$5.26
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes3,4550.1¢0¢$0−$3.45−$0.17
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes3,3910.3¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes3,0172.2¢0¢$0−$67$0
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes2,9860.1¢0¢$0−$2.98−$0.15
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes2,3462.5¢0¢$0−$58+$232
Will White House post 140-159 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Yes2,3000.1¢0¢$0−$2.30−$0.11
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes2,00022¢0¢$0−$440+$328
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes2,0001.8¢0¢$0−$36+$2.72
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Yes2,0000.8¢0¢$0−$16$0
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?Yes2,0002.3¢0¢$0−$46$0
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No2,0002¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?Yes2,0000.1¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes1,9990.8¢0¢$0−$16$0
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?Yes1,9053.8¢0¢$0−$72$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes1,7890.7¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes1,7801.9¢0¢$0−$33+$1.81
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes1,6802.3¢0¢$0−$39$0
Will SPD win less than 5% of all valid second votes?Yes1,6502.9¢0¢$0−$48−$1.82
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes1,4520.5¢0¢$0−$8.06+$572
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes1,4400.3¢0¢$0−$4.32$0
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes1,3672.7¢0¢$0−$37$0
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No1,31141.9¢0¢$0−$550−$22
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes1,2770.2¢0¢$0−$2.55+$3.50
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes1,2640.1¢0¢$0−$1.26−$0.10
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes1,1814.4¢0¢$0−$52+$36
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes1,16724.3¢0¢$0−$284+$9.65
Will BSW win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Yes1,1540.2¢0¢$0−$2.76−$0.02
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes1,1440.4¢0¢$0−$4.66−$31
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?Yes1,1372.1¢0¢$0−$23+$34
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes1,0810.1¢0¢$0−$1.08$0
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes1,0550.1¢0¢$0−$1.05−$0.05

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?25.4¢56$1469%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?65.6¢50$3369%75Sharp
BUY YesWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?14.5¢40$5.8269%75Sharp
BUY YesWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?17¢40$6.8069%75Sharp
BUY YesWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?61.2¢40$2469%75Sharp
BUY YesWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?10.2¢220$2269%75Sharp
BUY YesWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?5.3¢60$3.1869%75Sharp
BUY YesWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?15¢21$3.1469%75Sharp
SELL YesWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?22.5¢198$4569%75Sharp
BUY YesWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?14.6¢200$2969%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?84.1¢100$8469%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?85¢100$8569%75Sharp
SELL YesWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?15.5¢106$1669%75Sharp
BUY YesWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?9¢419$3869%75Sharp
SELL NoWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?95.1¢6$5.7169%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?93.3¢6$5.6069%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?87.4¢8$6.8669%75Sharp
BUY YesWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?1.8¢127$2.2669%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?75.3¢30$2369%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?82.4¢30$2569%75Sharp