sharpside
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Traders/Rank #9,376

xtyche

0xdc7…a292@xtyche1
1y+SportCryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$371vol $404k
PnL 30d−$15gains $195 · losses $64
PnL 7d−$33win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate53.2%adj 52.9% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$1,853cash n/a
Positions32 / 218open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$923below peak −$999Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 53.2% · shrunk toward 50%32
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 32

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?No1,29543.8¢77¢$997+$430$0
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?No40070¢83.5¢$334+$54$0
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?No12080.5¢96.8¢$116+$20$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes11717.1¢98¢$115+$95$0
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?No47363.4¢22.5¢$106−$194$0
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes3,2649.5¢3.2¢$103−$207−$69
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes68843.6¢6.5¢$45−$255$0
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes56935.1¢6.5¢$37−$163$0
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes8956¢0.4¢$0.31−$50$0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,17421.8¢0¢$0−$475−$19
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,5008.2¢0¢$0−$123−$82
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETDown1,1251.8¢0¢$0−$20−$1.34
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 2?Yes7816.4¢0¢$0−$50−$3.28
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes76939¢0¢$0−$300−$5.49
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No72250.6¢0¢$0−$365−$82
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes46721.4¢0¢$0−$100−$2.36
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Yes3264.6¢0¢$0−$15−$0.43
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?No32331¢0¢$0−$100−$2.07
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?No30057¢0¢$0−$171$0
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?Yes2229¢0¢$0−$20−$0.55
France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco22222.5¢0¢$0−$50−$1.16
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes20050¢0¢$0−$100−$1.50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceColombia16461¢0¢$0−$100−$1.17
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor14734¢0¢$0−$50−$0.99
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Germany?Yes1456.9¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.28
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina11942¢0¢$0−$50−$1.45
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETDown11144.9¢0¢$0−$50−$1.93
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes11145¢0¢$0−$50−$0.82
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Germany?Yes10010¢0¢$0−$10−$0.27
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes9652¢0¢$0−$50−$0.72
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes8928¢0¢$0−$25−$0.54
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp7633¢0¢$0−$25−$1.17

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesNew pandemic in 2026?4¢2,143$8653%35
BUY YesNew pandemic in 2026?7¢2,143$15053%35
BUY YesWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?68¢147$10053%35
BUY YesWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?85.6¢350$30053%35
BUY Brandon MorenoNoche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)49¢204$10053%35
SELL Yes9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?5¢1,836$9253%35
SELL YesExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?4¢833$3353%35
BUY ArgentinaSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance42¢119$5053%35
BUY YesExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?3¢833$2553%35
BUY ArgentinaEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance48.5¢206$10053%35
SELL EnglandEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance51.5¢185$9553%35
BUY EnglandEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance54¢185$10053%35
SELL YesWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?18.7¢1,350$25253%35
SELL YesWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?19.3¢450$8753%35
BUY YesWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?19.7¢254$5053%35
BUY EnglandNorway vs. England: Team to Advance68.2¢147$10053%35
SELL YesWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?99.8¢84$8453%35
SELL SpainSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance99.8¢329$32853%35
BUY YesWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?59.5¢84$5053%35
BUY SpainSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance76¢329$25053%35