PnL all-time+$154kvol $30.9M
PnL 30d−$303gains $75 · losses $386
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate86.7%adj 85.2% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$706kcash n/a
Positions2 / 505open / all-time
Max drawdown−8.7%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 26d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$154kbelow peak −$3,774Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
77/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 86.7% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d12
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity91
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noopen+$213kWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? · Noclosed+$31.4kWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? · Noclosed+$22.1kNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$10.9kWill 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards? · Noclosed+$10.4k
Worst markets
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$213kWill Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? · Yesclosed−$6,325Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · Noclosed−$5,054Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes? · Noclosed−$4,197Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day? · Noclosed−$3,397
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 706k | 50¢ | 80.2¢ | $566k | +$213k | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 706k | 50¢ | 19.9¢ | $140k | −$213k | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s