PnL all-time−$27.9kvol $4.36M
PnL 30d+$216gains $64 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$315win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate86.9%adj 82.8% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$13.4kcash n/a
Positions6 / 175open / all-time
Max drawdown−29.1%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$26.9kbelow peak −$5,592Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
44/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 86.9% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity71
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? · Noclosed+$4,226Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025? · Noclosed+$3,090Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%? · Noclosed+$2,805Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? · Noclosed+$2,217Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? · Noclosed+$2,142
Worst markets
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$44.3kWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesclosed−$9,992Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$4,267Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General? · Yesclosed−$3,982Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? · Noclosed−$3,707
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | No | 11.0k | 88.5¢ | 96.4¢ | $10.6k | +$868 | +$104 | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 2,500 | 93.6¢ | 96.5¢ | $2,413 | +$73 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 4,000 | 10¢ | 9.5¢ | $380 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 127k | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,153 | −$114 | |
| Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 US Open? | Yes | 8,235 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | +$25 | |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 536 | 17.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$96 | $0 |
Recent trades
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