sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,540

madmartigan5

0xdd1…4a07
WhalePnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$14.2kvol $1.61M
PnL 30d+$7,281gains $21.5k · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1,684win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate78.3%adj 71.3% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$30.5kcash n/a
Positions174 / 234open / all-time
Max drawdown−63.9%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 10d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$17.4kbelow peak −$8,974Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

50/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale59
Adjusted win rateraw 78.3% · shrunk toward 50%78
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable79
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d64
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity36

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No56.0k19.8¢20.5¢$11.5k+$382+$667
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes6,26637.1¢41.3¢$2,585+$260+$16
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes37.7k5.5¢5.1¢$1,904−$163+$22
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes2,98054¢62.5¢$1,862+$253$0
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes252k0.9¢0.7¢$1,761−$408$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes25.7k5.7¢5.9¢$1,504+$35−$270
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes2,00062¢70.5¢$1,410+$170$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes2,21452.4¢62.5¢$1,383+$225$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes2,80043.9¢44.5¢$1,246+$18$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes2,87334.8¢26.5¢$761−$238$0
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes5,2839¢13.5¢$713+$238$0
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes49.0k1.2¢1.3¢$612+$25−$134
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes3,52116.9¢16.3¢$572−$23+$437
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes22.4k0.5¢2.5¢$549+$442$0
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes20.4k2.6¢2.7¢$542+$10−$151
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No1,82435¢26.5¢$483−$155$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes56086¢79.5¢$445−$36$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes15.1k3.3¢2.6¢$385−$119$0
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes1,4258¢6.8¢$96−$17$0
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes9,6160.8¢1¢$91+$17$0
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?Yes42029.3¢18¢$76−$47$0
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?Yes29622.3¢7.6¢$22−$44$0
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?Yes4623.1¢21¢$9.74−$0.96$0
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes2,5281¢0.2¢$5.06−$20$0
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?No2018¢22.5¢$4.50+$0.90$0
Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?Yes58.6k8.4¢0¢$0−$4,949−$181
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes30.0k3.6¢0¢$0−$1,080−$31
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes26.6k5.2¢0¢$0−$1,383−$98
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes25.3k0.8¢0¢$0−$210$0
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes18.7k0.7¢0¢$0−$140$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes14.7k25¢0¢$0−$3,669$0
Will the Liberals (L) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes13.5k10.3¢0¢$0−$1,393−$48
Will France win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes13.2k3.9¢0¢$0−$518$0
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No10.5k32.8¢0¢$0−$3,457$0
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?Yes10.4k0.7¢0¢$0−$75$0
Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?Yes10.0k1.1¢0¢$0−$110$0
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes10,0009¢0¢$0−$900$0
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?Yes9,34222.9¢0¢$0−$2,140−$48
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 PGA Championship?Yes8,0001.2¢0¢$0−$96$0
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes6,3513.6¢0¢$0−$226$0
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No6,15612.7¢0¢$0−$784−$15
World Championships: Hungary vs. LatviaHungary6,02515.2¢0¢$0−$916−$0.40
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes6,0008.3¢0¢$0−$498−$14
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes6,0001.4¢0¢$0−$84−$2.48
World Championships: Finland vs. Great BritainGreat Britain5,9241.6¢0¢$0−$97−$0.21
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Yes5,7044.3¢0¢$0−$244−$9.64
World Championships: Latvia vs. FinlandLatvia5,57410.7¢0¢$0−$595−$1.46
World Championships: Denmark vs. SlovakiaDenmark5,56636.1¢0¢$0−$2,011−$38
Will Montenegro be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes5,3198¢0¢$0−$425$0
Will Jackson Koivun win the 2026 3M Open?No5,0259.9¢0¢$0−$497−$9.74
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,0002.5¢0¢$0−$125$0
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?Yes5,0000.9¢0¢$0−$45$0
World Championships: Sweden vs. SloveniaSlovenia4,8603.8¢0¢$0−$185$0
World Championships: USA vs. HungaryHungary4,0821.7¢0¢$0−$70−$0.17
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?Yes4,04542.7¢0¢$0−$1,727−$40
Will the Liberals (L) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes3,81611.9¢0¢$0−$455−$16
Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes3,73726.8¢0¢$0−$1,002−$29
Will Sweden be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No3,60610.8¢0¢$0−$388−$3.54
World Championships: Germany vs. HungaryHungary3,6009.9¢0¢$0−$358$0
Will Canada win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes3,5383.1¢0¢$0−$111$0
World Championships: Slovenia vs. SlovakiaSlovenia3,13317.2¢0¢$0−$539+$2.86
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Yes3,09617¢0¢$0−$525−$4.13
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Yes3,07033.6¢0¢$0−$1,031−$2.19
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?Yes3,04610.9¢0¢$0−$333+$76
World Championships: Austria vs. SwitzerlandAustria3,0024.8¢0¢$0−$144$0
France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco3,00022.2¢0¢$0−$665−$16
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?No3,00035¢0¢$0−$1,050$0
World Championships: Sweden vs. ItalyItaly2,9742.1¢0¢$0−$62−$1.82
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,9397.1¢0¢$0−$210−$0.59
Will Sweden win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes2,8931.3¢0¢$0−$37$0
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Yes2,88226.2¢0¢$0−$756−$22
Will the Liberals (L) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes2,6293.3¢0¢$0−$86−$3.26
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Great BritainGreat Britain2,5761.9¢0¢$0−$48−$0.84
World Championships: Canada vs. DenmarkDenmark2,4904.3¢0¢$0−$107−$0.51
Spain vs. Austria: Team to AdvanceAustria2,44912.2¢0¢$0−$300−$7.90
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No2,31925.8¢0¢$0−$598−$1.84
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes2,26420.4¢0¢$0−$462−$15
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?Yes2,25014¢0¢$0−$315−$8.13
World Championships: Slovakia vs. CanadaSlovakia2,11212.6¢0¢$0−$266−$2.65
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No2,00034¢0¢$0−$680−$13
Will Norway win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes1,99210¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 The Open Championship?Yes1,9632.6¢0¢$0−$51−$2.46
Will France win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes1,91927.4¢0¢$0−$526$0
Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Yes1,74934.6¢0¢$0−$605−$7.16
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?No1,70018.6¢0¢$0−$316−$3.10
World Championships: Germany vs. SwitzerlandGermany1,61416¢0¢$0−$258$0
Will Algeria be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No1,61333.7¢0¢$0−$543−$2.72
World Championships: Great Britain vs. LatviaGreat Britain1,56516.7¢0¢$0−$261−$2.10
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes1,50011.4¢0¢$0−$171−$4.55
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No1,50020¢0¢$0−$300−$3.46
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?No1,50022¢0¢$0−$330$0
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceCroatia1,50029.4¢0¢$0−$441−$3.78
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes?Yes1,45513.5¢0¢$0−$197−$6.82
Will the United States win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes1,43344.6¢0¢$0−$639$0
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes1,42734.6¢0¢$0−$495$0
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Yes1,37721.8¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will the Green Party (MP) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes1,31929.9¢0¢$0−$395−$11
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to AdvanceAlgeria1,20033.7¢0¢$0−$405−$8.05
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Yes1,20016¢0¢$0−$192$0
World Championships: Germany vs. Great BritainGreat Britain1,1104.9¢0¢$0−$54−$0.07

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?3.3¢982$3278%50
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?46¢800$36878%50
BUY YesWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?6¢6,358$38278%50
BUY YesWill Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?9.1¢449$4178%50
BUY YesWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.6¢38.9k$23378%50
BUY YesWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?5.8¢1,185$6978%50
BUY YesWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?86¢560$48278%50
BUY YesWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?5.5¢37.7k$2,06778%50
BUY YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?37.1¢6,266$2,32578%50
BUY NoWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?15¢1,973$29678%50
BUY NoWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?16¢3,524$56378%50
BUY NoWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?17¢10$1.7078%50
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?16¢300$4878%50
BUY NoWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?17¢3,734$63578%50
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?15.3¢499$7678%50
BUY NoWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?19¢3,319$63178%50
BUY NoWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?18¢704$12778%50
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?16¢2,422$38778%50
BUY YesWill Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?0.5¢8,634$4278%50
SELL YesWill the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?99.8¢121$12178%50