| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 4,841 | 26.4¢ | 22¢ | $1,065 | −$214 | +$27 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | No | 935 | 92¢ | 93.5¢ | $875 | +$14 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 838 | 95.4¢ | 98.5¢ | $826 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 849 | 44.8¢ | 93¢ | $789 | +$409 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 443 | 90.2¢ | 95.5¢ | $423 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 503 | 63.8¢ | 82.5¢ | $415 | +$94 | $0 | |
| Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? | No | 378 | 87.8¢ | 93¢ | $352 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 395 | 76¢ | 85.5¢ | $337 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 329 | 91.2¢ | 96.8¢ | $318 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | No | 332 | 85.9¢ | 90.5¢ | $300 | +$15 | +$6.70 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 334 | 80.8¢ | 85.5¢ | $286 | +$16 | +$32 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 905 | 33.8¢ | 31.5¢ | $285 | −$21 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 315 | 77.7¢ | 85.5¢ | $270 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 2,232 | 19¢ | 11.5¢ | $257 | −$168 | $0 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 437 | 52¢ | 54.5¢ | $238 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | No | 222 | 90¢ | 95.5¢ | $212 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 225 | 89¢ | 89.5¢ | $201 | +$1.12 | $0 | |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? | No | 229 | 87.4¢ | 87.5¢ | $200 | +$0.21 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 1,839 | 13.6¢ | 9.5¢ | $175 | −$75 | $0 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 195 | 72.9¢ | 81.5¢ | $159 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 796 | 17¢ | 17.5¢ | $139 | +$4.29 | $0 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 156 | 68¢ | 89¢ | $139 | +$33 | +$95 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 202 | 49.5¢ | 65.5¢ | $132 | +$32 | $0 | |
| John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31? | No | 130 | 76.7¢ | 81.5¢ | $106 | +$6.23 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | No | 143 | 70¢ | 72.5¢ | $104 | +$3.57 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 107 | 93.8¢ | 93.9¢ | $100 | +$0.05 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 118 | 34¢ | 83.5¢ | $98 | +$58 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 118 | 85¢ | 83.5¢ | $98 | −$1.76 | $0 | |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 116 | 86.3¢ | 83.9¢ | $97 | −$2.78 | $0 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 96 | 62.4¢ | 85¢ | $82 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 1,477 | 7.3¢ | 5.5¢ | $81 | −$27 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | 106 | 47.2¢ | 69.5¢ | $74 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Yes | 239 | 41.9¢ | 28¢ | $67 | −$33 | $0 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 114 | 48.2¢ | 53.7¢ | $61 | +$6.19 | +$0.83 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 75 | 80¢ | 81.5¢ | $61 | +$1.13 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 474 | 19.2¢ | 12.8¢ | $60 | −$31 | −$36 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 105 | 48.5¢ | 55.5¢ | $58 | +$7.32 | $0 | |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? | Yes | 124 | 48.3¢ | 45.5¢ | $57 | −$3.47 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 518 | 14.5¢ | 9.5¢ | $49 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 132 | 41.6¢ | 36.5¢ | $48 | −$6.72 | $0 | |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? | Yes | 178 | 16.9¢ | 26.5¢ | $47 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 69 | 58¢ | 54.1¢ | $37 | −$2.69 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 36 | 84¢ | 93.5¢ | $33 | +$3.39 | $0 | |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 32 | 46.7¢ | 95.4¢ | $31 | +$16 | +$57 | |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 36 | 33.5¢ | 76.5¢ | $27 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 37 | 54¢ | 66.5¢ | $25 | +$4.63 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 12, 2026? | Yes | 26 | 38.2¢ | 92.5¢ | $24 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 47 | 43¢ | 43¢ | $20 | $0 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 54 | 37¢ | 36.5¢ | $20 | −$0.27 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 133 | 15¢ | 14.5¢ | $19 | −$0.67 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes | 347 | 10.1¢ | 5.5¢ | $19 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | 77 | 26¢ | 23.5¢ | $18 | −$1.92 | $0 | |
| Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? | No | 22 | 46.4¢ | 80.5¢ | $17 | +$7.34 | $0 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 17 | 94¢ | 96.4¢ | $16 | +$0.40 | $0 | |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 325 | 4.6¢ | 4.8¢ | $15 | +$0.42 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 18 | 66¢ | 75.5¢ | $14 | +$1.73 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 63 | 32¢ | 20.5¢ | $13 | −$7.19 | $0 | |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | No | 15 | 73¢ | 83¢ | $13 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 14, 2026? | Yes | 30 | 40¢ | 41.5¢ | $12 | +$0.45 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 22 | 46¢ | 56.5¢ | $12 | +$2.28 | $0 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 64 | 28¢ | 16.5¢ | $11 | −$7.39 | $0 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 26 | 30.4¢ | 40¢ | $11 | +$2.52 | $0 | |
| Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? | No | 11 | 92.2¢ | 96.8¢ | $10 | +$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026? | Yes | 23 | 44¢ | 42.5¢ | $9.65 | −$0.35 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 34 | 32.7¢ | 28.5¢ | $9.60 | −$1.40 | $0 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 30 | 67¢ | 29¢ | $8.66 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | No | 208 | 4.8¢ | 4.2¢ | $8.65 | −$1.35 | $0 | |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40 | 25¢ | 20.5¢ | $8.20 | −$1.80 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 29 | 34¢ | 21.5¢ | $6.32 | −$3.68 | $0 | |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | No | 76 | 9.2¢ | 7.8¢ | $5.91 | −$1.09 | $0 | |
| Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 67 | 3¢ | 8.6¢ | $5.82 | +$3.82 | $0 | |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 40 | 15¢ | 13.5¢ | $5.40 | −$0.60 | $0 | |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 24 | 21¢ | 22.5¢ | $5.36 | +$0.36 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 139 | 7.9¢ | 2.9¢ | $3.97 | −$7.03 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 33 | 15¢ | 11¢ | $3.67 | −$1.33 | $0 | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | Yes | 40 | 5¢ | 6.5¢ | $2.60 | +$0.60 | $0 | |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 36 | 14¢ | 6.5¢ | $2.32 | −$2.68 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | Yes | 106 | 6.6¢ | 2¢ | $2.12 | −$4.88 | $0 | |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 118 | 17¢ | 1.8¢ | $2.06 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | Down | 2 | 50¢ | 100¢ | $2.00 | +$1.00 | −$0.04 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | Down | 2 | 50¢ | 100¢ | $2.00 | +$1.00 | −$0.04 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | Yes | 30 | 10¢ | 6.5¢ | $1.95 | −$1.05 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 200 | 0.5¢ | 0.7¢ | $1.30 | +$0.30 | $0 | |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 15 | 13.3¢ | 6.5¢ | $0.97 | −$1.02 | $0 | |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 200 | 0.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.90 | −$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 14 | 7.3¢ | 5¢ | $0.68 | −$0.32 | $0 | |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 22 | 4.6¢ | 2.4¢ | $0.52 | −$0.48 | $0 | |
| Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 56 | 1.8¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | −$0.53 | $0 | |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | No | 101 | 5¢ | 0.4¢ | $0.40 | −$4.60 | $0 | |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 167 | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.17 | −$0.83 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | Down | 2 | 49¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.04 | |