PnL all-time+$814vol $62.8k
PnL 30d+$1,175gains $961 · losses $146
PnL 7d+$1,175win rate 7d 70.0%
Win rate70.0%adj 60.0% · 30d 70.0%
Open value$136cash n/a
Positions2 / 22open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age1dlast trade 5h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale42
Adjusted win rateraw 70.0% · shrunk toward 50%50
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable45
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2? · Yesclosed+$295Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2? · Yesclosed+$293Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2? · Yesclosed+$102Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2? · Yesclosed+$54Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? · Yesclosed+$48
Worst markets
Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2? · Yesclosed−$44Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky? · Yesclosed−$37Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? · Noclosed−$32Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · Yesclosed−$30Will We're Fine win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Noclosed−$1.95
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September? | No | 280 | 46¢ | 46.5¢ | $130 | +$1.40 | +$0.02 | |
| Will We're Fine win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 48 | 10¢ | 12.9¢ | $6.15 | +$1.40 | −$0.80 |
Recent trades
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