PnL all-time+$113vol $31.4k
PnL 30d+$62gains $502 · losses $658
PnL 7d−$34win rate 7d 49.2%
Win rate77.0%adj 76.0% · 30d 50.8%
Open value$1,173cash n/a
Positions3 / 570open / all-time
Max drawdown−35.2%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 1h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$190below peak −$262Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
70/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale29
Adjusted win rateraw 77.0% · shrunk toward 50%90
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity65
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24? · Yesclosed+$198Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$67Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30? · Noclosed+$54LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Yesclosed+$50US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yesclosed+$48
Worst markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$154Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? · Yesclosed−$133Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14? · Noclosed−$113Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? · Noclosed−$111US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed−$94
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 13? | No | 1,146 | 98.4¢ | 99.1¢ | $1,136 | +$7.91 | $0 | |
| Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | Yes | 254 | 5.9¢ | 11.1¢ | $28 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 13? | Yes | 54 | 18.1¢ | 16.5¢ | $8.86 | −$0.88 | $0 |
Recent trades
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