PnL all-time+$20.4kvol $7.14M
PnL 30d+$2,461gains $3,550 · losses $23.6k
PnL 7d+$481win rate 7d 90.0%
Win rate42.5%adj 42.8% · 30d 40.3%
Open value$41.1kcash n/a
Positions7 / 746open / all-time
Max drawdown−51.9%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 18h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$21.6kbelow peak −$6,195Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
53/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 42.5% · shrunk toward 50%7
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable96
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity48
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? · Yesclosed+$16.3kWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? · Yesclosed+$12.1kWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noopen+$12.1kWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$10.3kWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? · Yesclosed+$9,815
Worst markets
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$12.1kWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? · Yesclosed−$5,850Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? · Yesclosed−$5,307Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026? · Yesclosed−$2,500Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? · Yesclosed−$2,004
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 40.0k | 50¢ | 80.2¢ | $32.1k | +$12.1k | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 40.0k | 50¢ | 19.9¢ | $7,940 | −$12.1k | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 478 | 98¢ | 98.8¢ | $472 | +$3.58 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 462 | 86¢ | 94.5¢ | $436 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 204 | 80¢ | 100¢ | $204 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | Yes | 5,230 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.22 | +$2,380 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | No | 246 | 98.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$242 | −$0.23 |
Recent trades
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