PnL all-time−$415vol $65.7k
PnL 30d+$167gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$31win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate67.0%adj 65.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$377cash n/a
Positions10 / 226open / all-time
Max drawdown−90.2%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 31d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$271below peak −$488Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 67.0% · shrunk toward 50%64
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity10
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yesclosed+$263Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$230Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yesclosed+$133Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · Noopen+$87Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025? · Yesclosed+$57
Worst markets
Will Tesla deliver 500000 or more vehicles in Q4 2025 · Yesclosed−$426Will PSG win on 2025-08-13? · Yesclosed−$150Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-12-01? · Yesclosed−$114Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08? · Yesclosed−$100Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yesclosed−$95
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | No | 467 | 21.4¢ | 40¢ | $187 | +$87 | $0 | |
| Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | No | 250 | 40¢ | 53.5¢ | $134 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | Yes | 200 | 10¢ | 25.7¢ | $51 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | 0.2¢ | $1.50 | −$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1 | 83¢ | 97¢ | $1.17 | +$0.17 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | No | 1 | 93¢ | 98.8¢ | $1.06 | +$0.06 | $0 | |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026? | No | 1 | 95¢ | 96.2¢ | $1.01 | +$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 643 | 7.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10? | Yes | 350 | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | −$0.49 | |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 292 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | −$0.57 |
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