sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,943

overfatting

0xdde…1ec6
<14d old<30d oldPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$33vol $64.9k
PnL 30d+$338gains $232 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$340win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 56.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$25.1kcash n/a
Positions41 / 44open / all-time
Max drawdown−13.4%of equity peak
Account age10dlast trade 12h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$339below peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale22
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%41
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable55
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity87

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 41

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes24.0k36¢36.5¢$8,760+$120$0
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No10.4k46.1¢45.5¢$4,734−$58$0
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No3,63483¢84.5¢$3,071+$55$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No3,50064¢62.5¢$2,188−$53$0
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes1,27583¢84.5¢$1,077+$19$0
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes2,26546.7¢45.5¢$1,031−$28$0
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?Yes1,18068¢65.5¢$773−$30−$5.41
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes93864¢62.5¢$586−$14−$84
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes2,02018¢25.5¢$515+$151$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?No71664¢58.5¢$419−$39$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?No42866.6¢66.5¢$285−$0.54$0
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes2,4569¢10.5¢$258+$36$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?No1,58111¢11.5¢$182+$7.91$0
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?No2,4374.5¢6.2¢$150+$41$0
Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?Yes23459¢61.5¢$144+$5.84$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No1,06511¢12.5¢$133+$16$0
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?No8729.1¢11.5¢$100+$21$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?No11384¢87.5¢$99+$3.96−$109
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes1,5004.4¢5.9¢$88+$22$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?Yes9783.7¢84.5¢$82+$0.78$0
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes6378.3¢12.5¢$80+$27$0
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Yes27323.2¢21.5¢$59−$4.72$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?No22117.5¢24.8¢$55+$16$0
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No4891.9¢93.9¢$45+$0.97$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?No4086¢84.5¢$34−$0.60$0
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes3692¢91.5¢$33−$0.18$0
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes6150¢53¢$32+$1.83$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No7039¢30.5¢$21−$5.95$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Yes2379¢79.5¢$18+$0.11$0
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?No3705.9¢4.8¢$18−$4.07$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No2060¢69.5¢$14+$1.90$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes3430¢32.5¢$11+$0.86$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No1262¢61.5¢$7.38−$0.06$0
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No1008.1¢7¢$6.95−$1.15$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes875.7¢6.6¢$5.69+$0.74$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?Yes2517¢21.5¢$5.38+$1.13$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No478¢9.5¢$4.46+$0.70$0
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Yes803.9¢3.8¢$2.98−$0.12$0
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes2010¢13.5¢$2.70+$0.70$0
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?No244.3¢7.5¢$1.76+$0.74$0
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes1720.6¢0.5¢$0.94−$0.09$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?66¢105$69100%28
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?30¢14$4.34100%28
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?30¢15$4.50100%28
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?30¢5$1.50100%28
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?46¢12$5.52100%28
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?10¢227$23100%28
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?45¢816$367100%28
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?36¢2,996$1,079100%28
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?36¢4$1.32100%28
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?36¢3,000$1,080100%28
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?36¢3,000$1,080100%28
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?36¢3,000$1,080100%28
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?36¢3,000$1,080100%28
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?36¢3,000$1,080100%28
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?36¢3,000$1,080100%28
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?36¢3,000$1,080100%28
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?86¢40$35100%28
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?84¢68$57100%28
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?3.9¢80$3.10100%28
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?5.7¢27$1.54100%28