sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,565

mwenya

0xde0…fa37
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$117kvol $91.5M
PnL 30d−$19.6kgains $2,330 · losses $5,256
PnL 7d+$2,572win rate 7d 87.5%
Win rate49.7%adj 49.7% · 30d 56.4%
Open value$75.2kcash n/a
Positions389 / 29,027open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 27d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$157kbelow peak −$36.3kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale72
Adjusted win rateraw 49.7% · shrunk toward 50%24
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d8
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes25.0k57.1¢42.5¢$10.6k−$3,650−$6,061
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No25.0k74.6¢42.1¢$10.5k−$8,132−$24.4k
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes22.8k58.9¢35.5¢$8,079−$5,319−$246
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes6,34130.3¢84.7¢$5,371+$3,450$0
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri LankaSri Lanka2,78054.3¢84.8¢$2,357+$847−$66
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No23.6k22¢9.5¢$2,242−$2,954+$2,995
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes12.4k8.8¢15.2¢$1,880+$793+$8,793
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No4,40634.4¢42.5¢$1,873+$359+$560
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes17.9k22.2¢9.5¢$1,703−$2,272+$552
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes2,00949.6¢73.5¢$1,476+$480+$0.53
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes3,25229.2¢42.5¢$1,382+$431+$402
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?Yes1,37569.2¢95.9¢$1,319+$367−$117
Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?No1,21972.8¢99.6¢$1,214+$326−$391
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes1,20856.8¢87.6¢$1,058+$371+$29
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?No1,04081¢98.5¢$1,024+$181$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes3,82046.8¢26.5¢$1,012−$777$0
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?No75157.9¢84¢$631+$196−$22
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes90843¢68.5¢$622+$231$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?Yes79854.7¢74¢$591+$154$0
Databricks IPO before 2027?No53379.9¢98.2¢$524+$98−$30
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes8,5913.7¢5.9¢$511+$192+$7,583
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?No54841.3¢87.5¢$479+$253+$6.98
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?Yes52455.8¢85¢$445+$153−$0.52
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?No45087.7¢97.2¢$437+$43$0
Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?Yes42033.8¢98.7¢$414+$272+$65
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes13.7k61.6¢2.8¢$378−$8,094$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?Yes39448.5¢89.5¢$353+$162$0
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?Yes39947.7¢87.5¢$349+$159+$2.40
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No32841.4¢99.6¢$327+$191+$102
Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?Yes40954.8¢72¢$295+$70$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?No32658.2¢86¢$280+$90−$6.17
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No28065.9¢98.9¢$277+$92−$20
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes29312.3¢90.8¢$266+$230$0
Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?Yes36079.6¢73.5¢$265−$22$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes7,9368¢3.3¢$262−$375+$6,357
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No36842¢67.5¢$248+$94+$11
Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?Yes25349.3¢95.6¢$241+$117$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-03 House seat?Yes25190¢95.5¢$240+$14$0
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat?No25085.4¢95.5¢$239+$25$0
Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No44456.5¢52.5¢$233−$18$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Yes86037.6¢26.5¢$228−$95+$34
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Yes29642¢77¢$228+$103$0
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No22674.5¢98.7¢$223+$55+$3.25
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes27264¢81.5¢$222+$48$0
Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?Yes26371.4¢83.5¢$219+$32$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?Yes23276¢93.4¢$217+$40$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?No28957.9¢74.5¢$215+$48$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?Yes23857.3¢86¢$205+$68$0
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No20432.8¢99.3¢$202+$135+$8.00
Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?No20083.1¢99.9¢$200+$34−$67
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-01 House seat?No20087¢99.8¢$200+$26$0
Will Alex Pereira be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No18885¢98.9¢$186+$26$0
Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?Yes19979.5¢91¢$181+$23$0
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?No20675.2¢87.5¢$181+$25$0
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-02 House seat?No19985.5¢89¢$177+$6.97$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?Yes19073.7¢92.5¢$176+$36$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?Yes18182.5¢97¢$176+$26−$92
Will the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat?Yes19379.5¢89.5¢$173+$19$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?Yes18873¢88.5¢$166+$29$0
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Yes16786¢97.6¢$163+$19$0
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?No17349.8¢93.5¢$162+$76−$2.67
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?No18181¢88.3¢$160+$13$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-05 House seat?No16384¢98.2¢$160+$23−$9.28
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?Yes18365.2¢83.5¢$153+$34$0
Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?Yes24214.1¢61.5¢$149+$115+$21
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?Yes15774.2¢95.2¢$149+$33$0
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?No14357.7¢96.5¢$138+$55$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Yes21665¢61.5¢$133−$7.55$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat?Yes13972.7¢94.7¢$132+$31−$38
Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?No13263.8¢99.6¢$131+$47−$56
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No33244.6¢38.5¢$128−$20+$1.23
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-07 House seat?No12884.7¢94.9¢$121+$13$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-02 House seat?Yes12781.8¢93.3¢$118+$14$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes12251.2¢96.2¢$117+$55+$76
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes11773¢96.3¢$113+$27$0
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes1477.7¢76.8¢$113+$102+$64
Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?Yes13067.4¢86.5¢$113+$25$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes16948.5¢65.5¢$111+$29+$5.34
Will the Buffalo Bills make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Yes12463¢88.5¢$110+$32$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-01 House seat?Yes10877.9¢96.5¢$105+$20$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat?Yes10089.3¢98.1¢$98+$8.73$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-18 House seat?Yes10078.9¢95.9¢$96+$17$0
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat?Yes10077¢95¢$95+$18$0
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes12880.9¢73.5¢$94−$9.51−$63
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No28861¢32¢$92−$84$0
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No9096.1¢99.9¢$90+$3.35−$50
Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?Yes9879¢90.5¢$89+$11$0
Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?Yes10056¢88¢$88+$32$0
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes32622.3¢26.4¢$86+$13+$13
Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?Yes9666¢89.5¢$86+$23−$32
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?Yes10743.1¢79.5¢$85+$39+$17
Will Ro Khanna be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?No8767.9¢97.9¢$85+$26$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?No8484¢98.5¢$83+$12$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?Yes8483.1¢96.6¢$82+$11$0
Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No8179¢100¢$81+$17−$5.51
Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?Yes8379.5¢96.1¢$79+$14$0
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Yes2,0005¢3.9¢$78−$22$0
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?Yes19.3k7.1¢0.4¢$77−$1,297$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?No35617¢21.5¢$77+$16+$47
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?Yes7887¢97.6¢$76+$8.24$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY CyberCore EsportsLoL: CyberCore Esports vs 1TAP Dino (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season67.8¢34$2350%42
BUY MVK AcademyLoL: MVK Academy vs 9Gaming (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season80.4¢7$5.6250%42
BUY MVK AcademyLoL: MVK Academy vs 9Gaming (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season83.9¢31$2650%42
BUY MVK AcademyLoL: MVK Academy vs 9Gaming (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season79.3¢30$2450%42
BUY 9GamingLoL: MVK Academy vs 9Gaming (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season22.8¢121$2850%42
BUY MVK AcademyLoL: MVK Academy vs 9Gaming (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season80.8¢30$2450%42
BUY MVK AcademyLoL: MVK Academy vs 9Gaming (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season81.5¢5$4.0850%42
BUY 9GamingLoL: MVK Academy vs 9Gaming (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season24.3¢14$3.4150%42
BUY 9GamingLoL: MVK Academy vs 9Gaming (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season24¢13$3.1250%42
BUY 9GamingLoL: MVK Academy vs 9Gaming (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season24.4¢17$4.1450%42
BUY PCIFIC LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffs58.6¢50$2950%42
BUY 9GamingLoL: MVK Academy vs 9Gaming (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season24¢14$3.3650%42
BUY MVK AcademyLoL: MVK Academy vs 9Gaming (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season81.4¢21$1750%42
BUY 9GamingLoL: MVK Academy vs 9Gaming (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season20¢21$4.2050%42
BUY 9GamingLoL: MVK Academy vs 9Gaming (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season36.3¢44$1650%42
BUY MVK AcademyLoL: MVK Academy vs 9Gaming (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season78¢12$9.3650%42
BUY MVK AcademyLoL: MVK Academy vs 9Gaming (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season78¢9$7.0250%42
BUY MVK AcademyLoL: MVK Academy vs 9Gaming (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season77.1¢13$1050%42
BUY MVK AcademyLoL: MVK Academy vs 9Gaming (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season77¢10$7.7050%42
BUY 9GamingLoL: MVK Academy vs 9Gaming (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season37¢11$4.0750%42