sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,805

0xde0…57c1

0xde0…57c1
CryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$2,086vol $686k
PnL 30d+$59gains $1,318 · losses $454
PnL 7d+$622win rate 7d 38.5%
Win rate48.8%adj 48.8% · 30d 56.6%
Open value$107cash n/a
Positions745 / 1,282open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$556below peak −$2,029Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

33/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 48.8% · shrunk toward 50%22
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes1,0389¢10.3¢$107+$14$0
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 27?No20.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?Yes8,0000.1¢0¢$0−$8.00$0
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes7,5000.3¢0¢$0−$25+$78
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Yes5,6590.7¢0¢$0−$41−$15
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?Yes5,0000.3¢0¢$0−$15−$4.92
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes5,0000.1¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.45
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?Yes4,7500.1¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes3,1791¢0¢$0−$31−$2.78
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Yes3,1120.4¢0¢$0−$11−$1.01
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes3,0211.1¢0¢$0−$33−$2.92
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?Yes3,0000.1¢0¢$0−$3.00+$211
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Yes2,0601.6¢0¢$0−$33−$1.64
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes2,0240.8¢0¢$0−$17−$1.48
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes2,0192.5¢0¢$0−$50−$4.40
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes2,0023.6¢0¢$0−$73−$18
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,0012.1¢0¢$0−$42−$2.92
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Yes2,0000.1¢0¢$0−$2.00+$15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes2,0001¢0¢$0−$20−$1.79
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?Yes1,8601.5¢0¢$0−$29−$2.56
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes1,7500.2¢0¢$0−$3.50−$0.31
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes1,6460.4¢0¢$0−$6.84+$370
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes1,5901.4¢0¢$0−$22−$2.00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes1,5443.1¢0¢$0−$47−$4.05
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes1,5392.3¢0¢$0−$35$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes1,5151.7¢0¢$0−$26−$2.34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes1,5000.4¢0¢$0−$6.00−$5.09
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes1,5000.2¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes1,4182.1¢0¢$0−$30−$2.69
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?Yes1,4079.9¢0¢$0−$139−$12
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes1,3842.7¢0¢$0−$37−$3.27
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes1,3735.1¢0¢$0−$70−$5.89
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes1,2342.2¢0¢$0−$27−$2.36
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?Yes1,2333.4¢0¢$0−$41−$17
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?Yes1,2261.9¢0¢$0−$23−$2.04
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Yes1,2153.2¢0¢$0−$39−$1.87
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?Yes1,2151.5¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?Yes1,1981.9¢0¢$0−$23−$2.06
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes1,1873.3¢0¢$0−$39−$3.44
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes1,1398.3¢0¢$0−$95−$8.13
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes1,1381.6¢0¢$0−$18−$1.62
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes1,1345.7¢0¢$0−$65−$5.65
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes1,1304¢0¢$0−$45−$3.92
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Yes1,1280.8¢0¢$0−$8.59−$0.77
Ethereum Up or Down - August 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETUp1,1250.6¢0¢$0−$6.52$0
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?Yes1,0847.3¢0¢$0−$79−$6.74
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes1,0811.3¢0¢$0−$14−$1.28
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Yes1,0761.4¢0¢$0−$15−$1.33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes1,0612.9¢0¢$0−$31−$2.74
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?Yes1,0480.2¢0¢$0−$2.21−$18
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes1,0461¢0¢$0−$11−$0.98
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes1,0431¢0¢$0−$11−$0.96
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?Yes1,0391.2¢0¢$0−$12−$1.11
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Yes1,0381.6¢0¢$0−$16−$1.47
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?Yes1,0381.1¢0¢$0−$12−$1.06
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?Yes1,0372.3¢0¢$0−$24−$2.15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Yes1,0352.2¢0¢$0−$22−$1.98
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes1,0332.5¢0¢$0−$25−$2.25
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Yes1,0311.4¢0¢$0−$14−$1.29
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes1,0301.4¢0¢$0−$14−$1.26
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes1,0261.7¢0¢$0−$17−$1.56
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Yes1,0260.9¢0¢$0−$9.16−$0.82
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes1,0252¢0¢$0−$21−$1.87
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes1,0234¢0¢$0−$41−$3.56
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes1,0226.4¢0¢$0−$65−$5.65
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes1,0210.8¢0¢$0−$8.00−$0.72
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?Yes1,0182.3¢0¢$0−$24−$2.11
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes1,0172.5¢0¢$0−$25−$2.22
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes1,0142.5¢0¢$0−$26−$2.28
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes1,0131.9¢0¢$0−$20−$1.74
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?Yes1,0132¢0¢$0−$20−$1.78
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?Yes1,0121.4¢0¢$0−$14−$1.27
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Yes1,0094.1¢0¢$0−$42−$3.65
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes1,0043.2¢0¢$0−$32−$2.85
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Yes1,0032.4¢0¢$0−$24−$2.12
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes1,0032.5¢0¢$0−$25−$2.20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes1,0013.1¢0¢$0−$31−$2.78
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes1,0003¢0¢$0−$30−$2.67
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes1,0002¢0¢$0−$20−$1.76
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes1,0000.2¢0¢$0−$2.50−$18
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00−$6.05
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Yes1,0000.2¢0¢$0−$2.00−$6.79
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes1,0003.1¢0¢$0−$31−$2.74
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes1,0002.8¢0¢$0−$28−$2.48
Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETDown1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?Yes1,0000.4¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes1,0000.2¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes1,0000.3¢0¢$0−$3.00−$3.14
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Yes1,0000.3¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.27
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes1,0001.5¢0¢$0−$15−$1.34
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0001.2¢0¢$0−$12−$0.84
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?Yes9883.1¢0¢$0−$31−$2.72
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Yes8952.9¢0¢$0−$26−$2.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETDown8351.1¢0¢$0−$9.39−$0.65
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes8000.2¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes76017.2¢0¢$0−$131−$17
Will Portugal win the World Cup?Yes7456.8¢0¢$0−$50−$1.83
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes7152.3¢0¢$0−$16−$1.44
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?Yes7130.4¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?Yes7081.6¢0¢$0−$11$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?3.9¢205$8.0049%33
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET11¢45$5.0049%33
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET25¢12$3.0049%33
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?2.5¢736$1849%33
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?3.4¢264$9.0049%33
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?0.2¢492$0.9849%33
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?0.9¢1,027$9.2849%33
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?99.5¢1,041$1,03549%33
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?11.2¢45$5.0049%33
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?8.4¢996$8449%33
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?0.8¢379$3.0049%33
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?0.5¢435$2.2649%33
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?6¢58$3.5049%33
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?4.9¢92$4.4849%33
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?5.6¢89$5.0049%33
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?4.8¢176$8.5049%33
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?5.1¢478$2449%33
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?7.1¢353$2549%33
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?1.5¢67$1.0049%33
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?6.9¢116$8.0049%33