PnL all-time−$643vol $12.4k
PnL 30d−$324gains $1.64 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate90.4%adj 79.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$328cash n/a
Positions5 / 57open / all-time
Max drawdown−69.9%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 20d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$643below peak −$664Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 90.4% · shrunk toward 50%98
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable59
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d33
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity30
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? · Noclosed+$26Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$19US forces enter Iran by March 7? · Noclosed+$7.73MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? · Noclosed+$6.90US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? · Noclosed+$6.58
Worst markets
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 167 | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $167 | +$1.17 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 161 | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $161 | +$0.97 | $0 | |
| Ethereum all time high by August 22? | No | 260 | 99.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$260 | $0 | |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | Yes | 217 | 83¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$180 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 16? | Yes | 173 | 98.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$170 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s