PnL all-time+$97vol $490
PnL 30d−$1.15gains $32 · losses $0.51
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate50.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$216cash n/a
Positions11 / 13open / all-time
Max drawdown−3.3%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 21d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$98below peak −$2.42Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale28
Adjusted win rateraw 50.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable37
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d28
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity97
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 160 | 62.5¢ | 100¢ | $160 | +$60 | $0 | |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 56 | 71.2¢ | 100¢ | $56 | +$16 | −$0.58 | |
| Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 111 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026? | No | 24 | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 18 | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 9 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Big Fat Cat" in March? | Yes | 9 | 11.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Montenegro win on 2026-03-31? | Yes | 9 | 23¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | 7 | 14¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of March? | Yes | 4 | 28¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | Yes | 2 | 49¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SELL No | Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31? | 12¢ | 4 | $0.52 | 50% | 28 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | 55¢ | 73 | $40 | 50% | 28 | |||
| BUY No | Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | 71.2¢ | 56 | $40 | 50% | 28 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Trump say "Big Fat Cat" in March? | 11.1¢ | 9 | $1.00 | 50% | 28 | |||
| BUY No | Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31? | 23¢ | 4 | $1.00 | 50% | 28 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | 49¢ | 2 | $1.00 | 50% | 28 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of March? | 28¢ | 4 | $1.00 | 50% | 28 | |||
| BUY No | Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026? | 4.1¢ | 24 | $1.00 | 50% | 28 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026? | 0.9¢ | 111 | $1.00 | 50% | 28 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | 5.6¢ | 18 | $1.00 | 50% | 28 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | 11¢ | 9 | $1.00 | 50% | 28 | |||
| BUY Yes | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | 14¢ | 7 | $1.00 | 50% | 28 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Montenegro win on 2026-03-31? | 23¢ | 9 | $2.00 | 50% | 28 | |||
| BUY No | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | 62.5¢ | 160 | $100 | 50% | 28 |