sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,103

thebug44

0xde7…c933
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$184kvol $8.65M
PnL 30d−$1,580gains $8,085 · losses $519
PnL 7d−$741win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate42.2%adj 43.4% · 30d 60.0%
Open value$88.1kcash n/a
Positions72 / 192open / all-time
Max drawdown−26.5%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 13h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$215kbelow peak −$56.3kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

57/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale75
Adjusted win rateraw 42.2% · shrunk toward 50%8
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable76
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity74

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 72

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes136k5.8¢13.2¢$17.9k+$10.0k+$3,589
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes264k3.3¢5.1¢$13.6k+$4,797$0
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes34.9k17.8¢22.5¢$7,849+$1,634$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes47.1k14.9¢15.1¢$7,087+$77$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes69.7k10.9¢10.2¢$7,070−$505+$153
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes50.4k7.7¢12.5¢$6,303+$2,414$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No33.9k16.1¢15.5¢$5,258−$220$0
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes33.4k13.6¢12.5¢$4,170−$371$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes7,00045¢44.5¢$3,115−$35$0
Spread: Texans (-6.5)Texans4,00054¢57.5¢$2,300+$140$0
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Yes4,41229¢42.5¢$1,875+$596$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes12.0k16.3¢15.5¢$1,860−$100$0
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes12.1k15.5¢15¢$1,817−$62$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No2,00083¢82.2¢$1,643−$17$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes28.3k16.2¢5.1¢$1,428−$3,147$0
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes26.5k3.6¢3.1¢$810−$136−$1,039
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes220k0.4¢0.4¢$770−$110$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?No1,46038¢52¢$759+$204$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3,37117.3¢18¢$605+$23$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6,4008¢8.1¢$515+$4.95$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes2,9147¢14.5¢$422+$219$0
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes50.3k1.1¢0.5¢$277−$258$0
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes25.6k0.8¢1¢$243+$35$0
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?No40422¢46.5¢$188+$99$0
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes13.2k0.5¢1.1¢$139+$73$0
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes32518.8¢18.5¢$60−$0.84$0
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes2,8900.6¢0.7¢$19+$1.45$0
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes1,60022¢0.9¢$14−$338$0
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes157k2.9¢0¢$0−$4,508−$122
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes156k3.5¢0¢$0−$5,460−$157
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes113k35.2¢0¢$0−$39.7k+$8,425
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes107k0.4¢0¢$0−$393−$8.62
Spurs vs. ThunderThunder76.4k54.3¢0¢$0−$41.4k−$562
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes72.0k6.4¢0¢$0−$4,616−$55
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes65.0k12.9¢0¢$0−$8,350+$12.9k
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes50.1k49¢0¢$0−$24.6k−$54
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?Yes43.1k12¢0¢$0−$5,185−$53
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?Yes28.9k4.2¢0¢$0−$1,200−$16
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes28.8k1.2¢0¢$0−$339+$10.6k
Spread: England (-1.5)England28.1k15.2¢0¢$0−$4,264−$37
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance20.0k23.5¢0¢$0−$4,700$0
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes18.5k3.4¢0¢$0−$634+$1,674
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway13.2k11.7¢0¢$0−$1,550+$1,470
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceEngland10.4k54¢0¢$0−$5,616−$129
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceUnited States10.0k49.5¢0¢$0−$4,953−$75
Will England win on 2026-07-15?Yes10.0k36.5¢0¢$0−$3,650$0
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?Yes9,06837.2¢0¢$0−$3,370−$63
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No8,34854¢0¢$0−$4,511−$58
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8,00021.5¢0¢$0−$1,720−$403
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes8,00055¢0¢$0−$4,400−$99
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceNetherlands7,64058.7¢0¢$0−$4,482−$55
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceColombia7,54060.2¢0¢$0−$4,541−$54
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium5,8278.8¢0¢$0−$513+$595
Knicks vs. SpursSpurs4,61664¢0¢$0−$2,954−$32
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes4,28322¢0¢$0−$943−$40
Patriots vs. BillsBills4,00052.2¢0¢$0−$2,088$0
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic4,00051.4¢0¢$0−$2,056−$5.94
Will Darryn Peterson be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?Yes4,00026¢0¢$0−$1,040$0
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay RaysNew York Yankees4,0006¢0¢$0−$240−$0.03
Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?Yes3,01233¢0¢$0−$994$0
Spread: England (-2.5)England3,0064.9¢0¢$0−$147−$3.22
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees2,80027.6¢0¢$0−$772−$28
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Yes2,40064¢0¢$0−$1,536+$348
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes2,1508.8¢0¢$0−$190+$710
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes2,00017.1¢0¢$0−$342$0
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?Yes1,71611.4¢0¢$0−$195+$181
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico1,60031¢0¢$0−$496−$10
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceAustralia1,21523.5¢0¢$0−$285+$980
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta DreamNew York Liberty80028.3¢0¢$0−$227+$466
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?Yes3914.3¢0¢$0−$17+$47
Will Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2316.2¢0¢$0−$14−$0.40
Will Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes546.6¢0¢$0−$3.55$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL BearsBears vs. Packers53¢4,800$2,54442%57
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?45¢7,000$3,15042%57
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?0.4¢86.6k$34742%57
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?16¢14.0k$2,24042%57
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?15¢11.0k$1,65042%57
BUY New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees24¢800$19242%57
BUY New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees29¢2,000$58042%57
BUY New York LibertyNew York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream28.3¢800$22742%57
BUY BearsBears vs. Packers56¢800$44842%57
SELL New York LibertyNew York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream46¢551$25342%57
SELL New York LibertyNew York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream46¢1,372$63142%57
BUY New York LibertyNew York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream12¢351$4242%57
BUY New York LibertyNew York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream18¢600$10842%57
BUY New York LibertyNew York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream21¢500$10542%57
BUY New York LibertyNew York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream25.9¢500$13042%57
BUY NoWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?38¢1,431$54442%57
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?18¢8,000$1,44042%57
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?0.4¢133k$53342%57
SELL YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?0.1¢220k$22042%57
BUY Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves51¢500$25542%57