PnL all-time+$28.2kvol $4.83M
PnL 30d+$24.8kgains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$24.3kwin rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate76.5%adj 62.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$176kcash n/a
Positions11 / 31open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.9%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 2h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$18.9kbelow peak $0Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
44/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale64
Adjusted win rateraw 76.5% · shrunk toward 50%56
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable50
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yesopen+$22.5kWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Noopen+$8,966Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Noopen+$8,775MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$4,528Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Noopen+$2,538
Worst markets
Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami? · Yesopen−$2,124Will the International Space Station win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yesopen−$140Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yesclosed−$119Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · Noclosed−$45US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · Yesopen−$30
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 77.3k | 91.8¢ | 98.2¢ | $75.9k | +$4,935 | +$3,840 | |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 62.9k | 73.1¢ | 79.4¢ | $49.9k | +$3,935 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 35.0k | 89¢ | 96.3¢ | $33.7k | +$2,538 | $0 | |
| Plague pandemic in 2026? | No | 13.0k | 95.8¢ | 96¢ | $12.5k | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2,000 | 91¢ | 99.8¢ | $1,995 | +$175 | $0 | |
| Will the International Space Station win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 20.0k | 2.2¢ | 1.6¢ | $310 | −$140 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 2,000 | 13¢ | 11.5¢ | $230 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 57 | 84.2¢ | 89.4¢ | $51 | +$2.93 | $0 | |
| Will the International Peace Research Association win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 41 | 75¢ | 99.5¢ | $41 | +$9.98 | $0 | |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 1 | 49.8¢ | 11.5¢ | $0.12 | −$0.38 | +$22.5k | |
| Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami? | Yes | 2.12M | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,124 | $0 |
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