| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | No | 659 | 75.4¢ | 72.8¢ | $480 | −$17 | +$158 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | No | 410 | 83¢ | 80.5¢ | $330 | −$10 | −$31 | |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 235 | 86¢ | 85.4¢ | $201 | −$1.41 | −$18 | |
| Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | No | 332 | 59¢ | 56.5¢ | $188 | −$8.30 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 701 | 29¢ | 22.5¢ | $158 | −$46 | −$6.72 | |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1,675 | 8¢ | 7.5¢ | $126 | −$8.37 | +$373 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | Yes | 147 | 79¢ | 73¢ | $107 | −$8.82 | $0 | |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | No | 302 | 38.9¢ | 33.5¢ | $101 | −$16 | −$21 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | No | 70 | 85.2¢ | 68.6¢ | $48 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 72 | 69¢ | 59¢ | $42 | −$7.20 | −$3.28 | |
| Will Miami Hurricanes Win the 2026 ACC Championship? | No | 205 | 29¢ | 20.5¢ | $42 | −$17 | −$6.62 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | Yes | 106 | 11.1¢ | 35.5¢ | $38 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 50 | 75¢ | 73.5¢ | $37 | −$0.75 | −$24 | |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 58 | 89¢ | 53.5¢ | $31 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | No | 72 | 61¢ | 36.5¢ | $26 | −$18 | −$73 | |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? | Yes | 132 | 15¢ | 14.5¢ | $19 | −$0.66 | −$1.05 | |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | No | 81 | 22¢ | 17.5¢ | $14 | −$3.63 | $0 | |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? | No | 21 | 65¢ | 58.5¢ | $12 | −$1.36 | $0 | |
| Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 55 | 26¢ | 21.5¢ | $12 | −$2.48 | −$0.82 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | Yes | 106 | 11.1¢ | 10.5¢ | $11 | −$0.65 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | Yes | 96 | 7.2¢ | 6.9¢ | $6.62 | −$0.29 | $0 | |
| Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | Yes | 67 | 13¢ | 9¢ | $6.03 | −$2.73 | −$0.02 | |
| Will Jim Lee win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election? | Yes | 80 | 22¢ | 7.5¢ | $6.00 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15? | Yes | 64 | 13¢ | 7¢ | $4.48 | −$3.84 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Kentucky governor race in 2027? | No | 23 | 26¢ | 18.5¢ | $4.25 | −$1.73 | $0 | |
| Will Baltimore Ravens finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards? | Yes | 20 | 23¢ | 19.5¢ | $3.90 | −$0.70 | −$0.60 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-05 House seat? | Yes | 182 | 3.8¢ | 1.9¢ | $3.37 | −$3.55 | $0 | |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027? | Yes | 35 | 13¢ | 9.5¢ | $3.33 | −$1.23 | $0 | |
| Will a Senior or Graduate win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | Yes | 74 | 22¢ | 4¢ | $2.96 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4,808 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.40 | −$52 | $0 | |
| Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4,808 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.40 | −$52 | $0 | |
| Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4,808 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.40 | −$52 | $0 | |
| Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4,808 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.40 | −$52 | $0 | |
| Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4,808 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.40 | −$52 | $0 | |
| Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4,808 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.40 | −$52 | $0 | |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1,513 | 1.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $2.27 | −$15 | −$30 | |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4,363 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.18 | −$47 | −$4.55 | |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 3,932 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.97 | −$42 | −$8.97 | |
| Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? | No | 83 | 8¢ | 2¢ | $1.62 | −$5.03 | −$38 | |
| FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 62 | 6¢ | 2.1¢ | $1.27 | −$2.45 | −$36 | |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | Yes | 4 | 16¢ | 27.5¢ | $1.17 | +$0.49 | +$262 | |
| Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 753 | 3.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $1.13 | −$27 | −$28 | |
| Will Noam be in the next Israeli government? | Yes | 61 | 3.6¢ | 1.7¢ | $1.04 | −$1.16 | $0 | |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 39 | 3.6¢ | 2.4¢ | $0.92 | −$0.48 | $0 | |
| Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1,513 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.76 | −$16 | −$33 | |
| Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 1,283 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.64 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 1,283 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.64 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 1,283 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.64 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 55 | 14.3¢ | 1.1¢ | $0.58 | −$7.34 | $0 | |
| Will Eddie Howe be the next head coach of the England national team? | Yes | 101 | 8¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.51 | −$7.58 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | Yes | 106 | 11.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.48 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | No | 2 | 27¢ | 26.5¢ | $0.42 | −$0.01 | +$699 | |
| Will Tajikistan win Group D at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? | Yes | 27 | 14.3¢ | 1.5¢ | $0.41 | −$3.45 | $0 | |
| Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 797 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.40 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 797 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.40 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 797 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.40 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 797 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.40 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 797 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.40 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 797 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.40 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 797 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.40 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 797 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.40 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 797 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.40 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 797 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.40 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 704 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.35 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 704 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.35 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 704 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.35 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 704 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.35 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 704 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.35 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 632 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.32 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 632 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.32 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 632 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.32 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 632 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.32 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 632 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.32 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 632 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.32 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 632 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.32 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 632 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.32 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 632 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.32 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 632 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.32 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 629 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.31 | −$126 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-26 House seat? | Yes | 20 | 4.4¢ | 1.6¢ | $0.31 | −$0.57 | $0 | |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 609 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.30 | −$122 | −$3.98 | |
| Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 570 | 3.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.29 | −$19 | −$12 | |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 105 | 2.9¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.26 | −$2.73 | $0 | |
| Will Slovakia win 2026-27 Nations League Group C3? | No | 23 | 4¢ | 1.1¢ | $0.24 | −$0.66 | $0 | |
| Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 441 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.22 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 441 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.22 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 441 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.22 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Krum Zarkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 441 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.22 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 441 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.22 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 441 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.22 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 441 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.22 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 441 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.22 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 441 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.22 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 441 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.22 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 39 | 3.6¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.21 | −$1.18 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat? | Yes | 39 | 3.7¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.21 | −$1.23 | −$2.32 | |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 427 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.21 | −$13 | −$6.22 | |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 427 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.21 | −$13 | −$6.22 | |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 427 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.21 | −$13 | −$6.22 | |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 414 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.21 | −$32 | $0 | |