sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,507

wttg

0xdf2…3b7f@SilkRoadBTC
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+1y+CryptoPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,959vol $723k
PnL 30d+$2,681gains $1,602 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1,105win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate70.3%adj 63.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$81.9kcash n/a
Positions36 / 73open / all-time
Max drawdown−83.4%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 2mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$23.1kbelow peak −$34.3kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

21/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 70.3% · shrunk toward 50%58
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable62
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity17

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 36

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No28.9k68.5¢96.5¢$27.9k+$8,078$0
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No16.5k63.2¢95.7¢$15.8k+$5,352$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No15.3k80.8¢97.9¢$15.0k+$2,616$0
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No14.8k52.5¢92.5¢$13.7k+$5,905$0
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No9,03961.8¢93.8¢$8,474+$2,884$0
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?No50259¢94.5¢$474+$178$0
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes70026¢67¢$469+$287$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes1,50023¢6.5¢$98−$248$0
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?Yes59416.3¢6.5¢$39−$58$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?No21.4k69¢0¢$0−$14.8k$0
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?ETH16.7k12.8¢0¢$0−$2,125$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No13.1k51¢0¢$0−$6,700$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?No11.2k82¢0¢$0−$9,220$0
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?150k10.8k19.3¢0¢$0−$2,082$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?No7,15474.8¢0¢$0−$5,351$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?Yes7,00064¢0¢$0−$4,480−$0.13
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4?No6,93249.6¢0¢$0−$3,440$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 21?Yes6,39760.3¢0¢$0−$3,860$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?No6,00045¢0¢$0−$2,700$0
Ethereum flipped in 2026?No5,50080.5¢0¢$0−$4,425$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?No5,04345¢0¢$0−$2,270$0
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 29-January 4?Yes4,99710.6¢0¢$0−$530$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?Yes4,87365.3¢0¢$0−$3,181+$534
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?No3,98761.4¢0¢$0−$2,450−$66
Will Bitcoin dip to $97k November 3-9?Yes3,4214.1¢0¢$0−$140$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No3,19262¢0¢$0−$1,980$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 14?No2,68223.3¢0¢$0−$624+$193
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes1,11942.8¢0¢$0−$479$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes1,0613.2¢0¢$0−$33$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 21?Up90911¢0¢$0−$100$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETUp68743.6¢0¢$0−$300$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?Yes60050¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 19?Yes42733.3¢0¢$0−$142+$436
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?Yes35317¢0¢$0−$60$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No30028¢0¢$0−$84$0
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes12635.8¢0¢$0−$45$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?70¢2,000$1,40070%21
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?64¢8$5.1270%21
BUY NoWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?62¢1,613$1,00070%21
BUY NoWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?63¢79$5070%21
BUY NoWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?61¢656$40070%21
BUY NoWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?61¢1,639$1,00070%21
BUY ETHFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?9¢556$5070%21
BUY ETHFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?9.9¢1,010$10070%21
BUY ETHFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?9¢778$7070%21
BUY 150kWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?20¢5,003$1,00070%21
BUY NoWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?81¢3,704$3,00070%21
BUY NoWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?81¢2,469$2,00070%21
BUY NoWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?41¢49$2070%21
BUY ETHFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?15.9¢188$3070%21
BUY NoWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?81¢6,173$5,00070%21
BUY YesWill USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?18¢94$1770%21
BUY NoWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?92.7¢54$5070%21
BUY NoWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?92.7¢100$9370%21
BUY NoWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?80¢375$30070%21
BUY NoEthereum flipped in 2026?81¢2,500$2,02570%21