sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

ChefDaddyXXL

0xdf5…ba75
WR 60+1y+PoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$910vol $107k
PnL 30d+$1.76gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$2.16win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate69.2%adj 67.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$158cash n/a
Positions32 / 279open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 9mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$939below peak −$1,074Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 69.2% · shrunk toward 50%70
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 32

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No13773¢100¢$137+$37$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes13537¢15.5¢$21−$29$0
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?No63650.7¢0¢$0−$322$0
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 25 ET?No3903.9¢0¢$0−$15$0
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes27311¢0¢$0−$30−$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 7AM ETUp1673¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?No13873¢0¢$0−$101$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?Yes13219¢0¢$0−$25$0
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes13115.2¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?No10020¢0¢$0−$20$0
US government shutdown by October 1?No9122¢0¢$0−$20$0
Nothing Ever Happens: France EditionYes7739¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?No7170¢0¢$0−$50$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4AM ETUp671.5¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?Yes638¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?Yes5428¢0¢$0−$15$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ETDown4049¢0¢$0−$20$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ETDown4050¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Israel strike 3 countries in October 2025?Yes3727¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?Yes2836¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?Yes2421¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ETUp2344¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ETUp2148.7¢0¢$0−$10$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ETDown2049¢0¢$0−$9.80$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ETDown2049¢0¢$0−$9.80$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ETDown2049¢0¢$0−$9.80$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10AM ETDown1550.3¢0¢$0−$7.45$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6AM ETUp1436¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ETDown1240.9¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4AM ETDown1052.5¢0¢$0−$5.25$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9AM ETUp812¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ETDown546¢0¢$0−$2.24−$13

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?73¢137$10069%31
SELL YesWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?12.2¢261$3269%31
SELL NoWill Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?95¢66$6369%31
SELL NoFed emergency rate cut in 2025?96.5¢25$2469%31
SELL NoIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?95¢116$11069%31
SELL YesWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?91¢68$6169%31
SELL NoIsrael strikes Iran before 2026?86¢312$26869%31
SELL NoUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?97.8¢111$10969%31
SELL YesNothing Ever Happens: Military Edition87¢217$18969%31
SELL DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET22.2¢55$1269%31
SELL DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET7¢20$1.4069%31
SELL YesWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?95.2¢133$12669%31
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET50¢40$2069%31
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET44¢23$1069%31
SELL NoWill John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the next funding bill?88¢50$4469%31
BUY NoWill Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?74¢66$4969%31
BUY YesWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?28.9¢173$5069%31
SELL NoIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?98.5¢100$9969%31
BUY NoWill the Government shutdown end October 15+?33¢304$10069%31
SELL YesWill Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 202581¢124$10069%31