sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,885

maxrol88

0xdf6…20d8
WhalePnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$15.1kvol $220k
PnL 30d+$2,135gains $7.48 · losses $179
PnL 7d−$411win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate83.7%adj 77.4% · 30d 20.0%
Open value$14.2kcash n/a
Positions39 / 131open / all-time
Max drawdown−28.3%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 16d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$16.6kbelow peak −$975Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

66/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 83.7% · shrunk toward 50%94
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d44
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity72

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 39

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes16.1k52.6¢62.5¢$10.1k+$1,596$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No4,56055.9¢63.5¢$2,896+$348$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,32385¢90.5¢$1,197+$73$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes12752.8¢61.5¢$78+$11$0
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3,1273.3¢0¢$0−$102−$2.61
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes2,80024¢0¢$0−$672$0
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes2,41234.5¢0¢$0−$832−$11
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,2893.1¢0¢$0−$71−$2.06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Yes2,00062.9¢0¢$0−$1,258−$19
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,89526.4¢0¢$0−$500−$11
Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?Yes1,8195.5¢0¢$0−$100−$4.72
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,5412.6¢0¢$0−$40−$1.17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Yes1,5008¢0¢$0−$120$0
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?No1,50051.9¢0¢$0−$779$0
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes1,40055.7¢0¢$0−$780$0
Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,20021¢0¢$0−$252−$5.97
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?No1,18715.7¢0¢$0−$186−$6.27
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes99550.2¢0¢$0−$500−$12
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8514.7¢0¢$0−$40−$1.14
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes79412.6¢0¢$0−$100−$2.62
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes67674¢0¢$0−$500−$6.50
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?No51729¢0¢$0−$150−$3.19
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?Yes45092.3¢0¢$0−$415$0
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?No43546¢0¢$0−$200−$3.24
Will Paraguay reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes4006.3¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?Yes35063.4¢0¢$0−$222$0
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes30016¢0¢$0−$48−$1.21
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes30063.2¢0¢$0−$189−$1.32
Will Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes21411.7¢0¢$0−$25−$0.66
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?No21278¢0¢$0−$165−$1.42
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes20022.3¢0¢$0−$45−$1.04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?No19758¢0¢$0−$114$0
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?No14171¢0¢$0−$100−$2.03
Will Trump say "Mission Accomplished" during Address to the Nation?Yes12018¢0¢$0−$22$0
Will Trump say "Sacrifice" during Address to the Nation?Yes10077¢0¢$0−$77$0
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?Yes10024¢0¢$0−$24$0
Will Trump say "Vance" or "Rubio" during Address to the Nation?Yes10036¢0¢$0−$36$0
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?No9762¢0¢$0−$60−$1.60
Will Isaac del Toro win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?No4049.4¢0¢$0−$20−$0.51

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?63¢181$11484%66
SELL NoWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?30¢244$7384%66
SELL YesWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?5.9¢260$1584%66
SELL YesWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?1.5¢300$4.5084%66
SELL Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House28¢100$2884%66
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House63¢27$1784%66
BUY NoWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?55¢45$2584%66
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?74¢676$50084%66
BUY YesWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?90.9¢259$23584%66
SELL YesWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.1¢6,127$6.1384%66
BUY YesWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?59.1¢3,248$1,92084%66
SELL EnglandFrance vs. England: Team to Win53.1¢3,792$2,01384%66
BUY SpainSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance59.7¢378$22684%66
BUY EnglandFrance vs. England: Team to Win97.6¢3,279$3,20084%66
BUY YesWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?73.6¢136$10084%66
BUY EnglandFrance vs. England: Team to Win97.5¢513$50084%66
BUY YesWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?61.5¢163$10084%66
BUY YesWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?62.4¢160$10084%66
SELL YesWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?34.9¢1,912$66884%66
BUY YesWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?89.6¢800$71784%66