sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,584

AngryRhino

0xdf7…5e92
WhalePnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$11.8kvol $8.41M
PnL 30d+$17.2kgains $28.5k · losses $7,046
PnL 7d+$2,339win rate 7d 83.3%
Win rate78.5%adj 76.1% · 30d 77.8%
Open value$283kcash n/a
Positions152 / 367open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$29.0kbelow peak −$8,520Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

57/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 78.5% · shrunk toward 50%90
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No49.4k94.2¢96.5¢$47.7k+$1,158+$38
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes34.7k92.3¢96¢$33.3k+$1,288$0
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?No26.2k96.9¢95.6¢$25.0k−$343$0
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes17.6k92.8¢92.5¢$16.3k−$49$0
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?No18.1k81¢89¢$16.1k+$1,444+$312
Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?No14.8k97¢99.4¢$14.7k+$347$0
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No14.1k66.6¢96.9¢$13.6k+$4,259+$3,592
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No12.4k92.6¢91.5¢$11.4k−$134$0
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes9,73688.6¢90.5¢$8,811+$180$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Yes9,65083.5¢86.5¢$8,348+$292$0
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?No7,82376.2¢97.2¢$7,604+$1,646+$1,272
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No7,00087¢96.1¢$6,724+$634+$145
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes8,29280.9¢76.8¢$6,364−$344+$19
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?Yes6,02991.7¢94.5¢$5,697+$166$0
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Yes4,93296¢97.7¢$4,818+$84$0
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No5,00070¢96¢$4,797+$1,297$0
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes5,07792¢91.5¢$4,646−$25$0
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?No4,66596.5¢97.4¢$4,544+$42$0
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No4,00085¢94.5¢$3,780+$380$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes5,00068¢71.5¢$3,575+$175$0
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?No3,00095.8¢93.4¢$2,802−$71$0
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Yes2,51193¢95.5¢$2,398+$63$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?No2,69581.6¢87.5¢$2,358+$159$0
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes2,44593¢95.8¢$2,342+$67$0
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Yes2,20093.7¢94¢$2,068+$7.40$0
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes2,00095.5¢93.7¢$1,874−$36$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes2,48466¢71.5¢$1,776+$137$0
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?No1,96589.5¢89.6¢$1,762+$2.78$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes2,83655¢61.5¢$1,744+$184+$2,605
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?No1,81089.7¢89.4¢$1,617−$5.66$0
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?No1,52389.7¢94.9¢$1,445+$79$0
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?Yes1,47692.3¢92¢$1,357−$4.58$0
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?Yes1,35596¢96.5¢$1,307+$6.10$0
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?No1,32387¢97.4¢$1,288+$138$0
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?No1,31283.8¢94¢$1,234+$133+$324
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No1,00075¢97.9¢$979+$229$0
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Yes1,00095.8¢94.4¢$944−$14$0
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?No1,00080¢93.2¢$932+$132$0
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Yes1,11246¢71¢$789+$278$0
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Yes80594.3¢92.5¢$745−$14$0
Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?No70690¢92.5¢$653+$18$0
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?Yes66895¢95.6¢$638+$3.80$0
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No64479¢90¢$580+$71$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No1,80814¢18.5¢$335+$81$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?Yes34994¢95.5¢$333+$5.24$0
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Yes34491¢91¢$313$0$0
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes1,60914¢18.5¢$298+$72$0
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes5,00020.7¢4.5¢$225−$811−$336
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No17825¢92.5¢$165+$120$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No9055¢63.5¢$57+$7.67$0
Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes61014.6¢8.5¢$52−$37$0
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?No5494.9¢95.5¢$51+$0.32$0
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?No3488¢90.5¢$31+$0.85$0
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?No1290¢98.7¢$12+$1.04$0
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?No780¢96.9¢$6.83+$1.19$0
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8432.2¢0.1¢$0.84−$18$0
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8432.2¢0.1¢$0.42−$18$0
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8432.2¢0.1¢$0.42−$18$0
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8432.2¢0.1¢$0.42−$18$0
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8432.2¢0.1¢$0.42−$18$0
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8432.2¢0.1¢$0.42−$18$0
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8432.2¢0.1¢$0.42−$18$0
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8432.2¢0.1¢$0.42−$18$0
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8432.2¢0.1¢$0.42−$18$0
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8432.2¢0.1¢$0.42−$18$0
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8432.2¢0.1¢$0.42−$18$0
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8432.2¢0.1¢$0.42−$18$0
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8432.2¢0.1¢$0.42−$18$0
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8432.2¢0.1¢$0.42−$18$0
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8432.2¢0.1¢$0.42−$18$0
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8432.2¢0.1¢$0.42−$18$0
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8432.2¢0.1¢$0.42−$18$0
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8432.2¢0.1¢$0.42−$18$0
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8432.2¢0.1¢$0.42−$18$0
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8432.2¢0.1¢$0.42−$18$0
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes154k11.3¢0¢$0−$17.4k+$1,844
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No75.0k8¢0¢$0−$6,000$0
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes54.8k0.6¢0¢$0−$311+$4,471
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No38.0k92.3¢0¢$0−$35.1k$0
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes30.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes30.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes30.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes30.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes30.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes30.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes30.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Yes30.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Taylor Swift be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes30.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes30.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes30.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No28.4k82¢0¢$0−$23.3k−$1,100
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?Yes25.0k2.5¢0¢$0−$625$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?Yes20.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?Yes20.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?Yes20.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes16.3k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes16.3k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will George Tuță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes16.3k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes16.3k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes16.3k0¢0¢$0$0$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?48.7¢14.8k$7,21579%57
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?82¢10.0k$8,20079%57
SELL YesWill Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?78.9¢840$66379%57
SELL NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?96.5¢10.0k$9,64979%57
BUY NoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?93¢2,306$2,14479%57
BUY NoWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?96¢1,402$1,34679%57
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?95.6¢448$42879%57
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?94.9¢54$5179%57
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?94.9¢188$17979%57
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?97¢25.0k$24.3k79%57Whale
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?93.2¢1,020$95179%57
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?89¢5,762$5,12979%57
BUY NoWill Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?95.7¢2,612$2,50179%57
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?95.5¢1,361$1,30079%57
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?85.7¢6,466$5,54379%57
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?99.9¢10.0k$9,99079%57
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?92¢4,357$4,00979%57
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?12¢429$5179%57
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?14¢668$9479%57
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?14¢1,777$24979%57