| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 49.4k | 94.2¢ | 96.5¢ | $47.7k | +$1,158 | +$38 | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 34.7k | 92.3¢ | 96¢ | $33.3k | +$1,288 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | No | 26.2k | 96.9¢ | 95.6¢ | $25.0k | −$343 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 17.6k | 92.8¢ | 92.5¢ | $16.3k | −$49 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | No | 18.1k | 81¢ | 89¢ | $16.1k | +$1,444 | +$312 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026? | No | 14.8k | 97¢ | 99.4¢ | $14.7k | +$347 | $0 | |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 14.1k | 66.6¢ | 96.9¢ | $13.6k | +$4,259 | +$3,592 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | No | 12.4k | 92.6¢ | 91.5¢ | $11.4k | −$134 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | Yes | 9,736 | 88.6¢ | 90.5¢ | $8,811 | +$180 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | Yes | 9,650 | 83.5¢ | 86.5¢ | $8,348 | +$292 | $0 | |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | No | 7,823 | 76.2¢ | 97.2¢ | $7,604 | +$1,646 | +$1,272 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 7,000 | 87¢ | 96.1¢ | $6,724 | +$634 | +$145 | |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 8,292 | 80.9¢ | 76.8¢ | $6,364 | −$344 | +$19 | |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? | Yes | 6,029 | 91.7¢ | 94.5¢ | $5,697 | +$166 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 4,932 | 96¢ | 97.7¢ | $4,818 | +$84 | $0 | |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | No | 5,000 | 70¢ | 96¢ | $4,797 | +$1,297 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5,077 | 92¢ | 91.5¢ | $4,646 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026? | No | 4,665 | 96.5¢ | 97.4¢ | $4,544 | +$42 | $0 | |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 4,000 | 85¢ | 94.5¢ | $3,780 | +$380 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5,000 | 68¢ | 71.5¢ | $3,575 | +$175 | $0 | |
| Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | No | 3,000 | 95.8¢ | 93.4¢ | $2,802 | −$71 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2,511 | 93¢ | 95.5¢ | $2,398 | +$63 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | No | 2,695 | 81.6¢ | 87.5¢ | $2,358 | +$159 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2,445 | 93¢ | 95.8¢ | $2,342 | +$67 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,200 | 93.7¢ | 94¢ | $2,068 | +$7.40 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,000 | 95.5¢ | 93.7¢ | $1,874 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,484 | 66¢ | 71.5¢ | $1,776 | +$137 | $0 | |
| Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 1,965 | 89.5¢ | 89.6¢ | $1,762 | +$2.78 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,836 | 55¢ | 61.5¢ | $1,744 | +$184 | +$2,605 | |
| Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 1,810 | 89.7¢ | 89.4¢ | $1,617 | −$5.66 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? | No | 1,523 | 89.7¢ | 94.9¢ | $1,445 | +$79 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1,476 | 92.3¢ | 92¢ | $1,357 | −$4.58 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1,355 | 96¢ | 96.5¢ | $1,307 | +$6.10 | $0 | |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 1,323 | 87¢ | 97.4¢ | $1,288 | +$138 | $0 | |
| Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 1,312 | 83.8¢ | 94¢ | $1,234 | +$133 | +$324 | |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 75¢ | 97.9¢ | $979 | +$229 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 95.8¢ | 94.4¢ | $944 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 1,000 | 80¢ | 93.2¢ | $932 | +$132 | $0 | |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? | Yes | 1,112 | 46¢ | 71¢ | $789 | +$278 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 805 | 94.3¢ | 92.5¢ | $745 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 706 | 90¢ | 92.5¢ | $653 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026? | Yes | 668 | 95¢ | 95.6¢ | $638 | +$3.80 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | No | 644 | 79¢ | 90¢ | $580 | +$71 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 1,808 | 14¢ | 18.5¢ | $335 | +$81 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? | Yes | 349 | 94¢ | 95.5¢ | $333 | +$5.24 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? | Yes | 344 | 91¢ | 91¢ | $313 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1,609 | 14¢ | 18.5¢ | $298 | +$72 | $0 | |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5,000 | 20.7¢ | 4.5¢ | $225 | −$811 | −$336 | |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 178 | 25¢ | 92.5¢ | $165 | +$120 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 90 | 55¢ | 63.5¢ | $57 | +$7.67 | $0 | |
| Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 610 | 14.6¢ | 8.5¢ | $52 | −$37 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Tennessee governor race in 2026? | No | 54 | 94.9¢ | 95.5¢ | $51 | +$0.32 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | No | 34 | 88¢ | 90.5¢ | $31 | +$0.85 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | No | 12 | 90¢ | 98.7¢ | $12 | +$1.04 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? | No | 7 | 80¢ | 96.9¢ | $6.83 | +$1.19 | $0 | |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.84 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.42 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.42 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.42 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.42 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.42 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.42 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.42 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.42 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.42 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.42 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.42 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.42 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.42 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.42 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.42 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.42 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.42 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.42 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.42 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Yes | 154k | 11.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17.4k | +$1,844 | |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 75.0k | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,000 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 54.8k | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$311 | +$4,471 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | No | 38.0k | 92.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$35.1k | $0 | |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 30.0k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 30.0k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 30.0k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 30.0k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 30.0k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 30.0k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 30.0k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 30.0k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Taylor Swift be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 30.0k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 30.0k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 30.0k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 28.4k | 82¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$23.3k | −$1,100 | |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch? | Yes | 25.0k | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$625 | $0 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev? | Yes | 20.0k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? | Yes | 20.0k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | Yes | 20.0k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Yes | 16.3k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Yes | 16.3k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will George Tuță be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Yes | 16.3k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Yes | 16.3k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Yes | 16.3k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |