sharpside
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Traders/Rank #8,345

nanamomo

0xdfd…e2d4
WR 60+Crypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$140vol $7,166
PnL 30d−$104gains $260 · losses $146
PnL 7d−$133win rate 7d 69.4%
Win rate69.9%adj 68.4% · 30d 69.5%
Open value$373cash n/a
Positions63 / 309open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.9%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 3m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$127below peak −$149Oct 15

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 69.9% · shrunk toward 50%71
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable83
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 22

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?Yes10092¢79.5¢$80−$13$0
Will AI solve the Riemann Hypothesis in 2026?No5093¢93.5¢$47+$0.25$0
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes6073¢63.5¢$38−$5.70$0
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?No3082¢81.5¢$24−$0.15$0
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?No2092.5¢96.8¢$19+$0.86$0
Plague case in US by December 31?No2091¢92.5¢$19+$0.30+$0.60
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo2092¢91.5¢$18−$0.10$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No2076¢71.5¢$14−$0.90$0
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?No2081¢68.5¢$14−$2.50$0
Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?Yes2066¢60.5¢$12−$1.10$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?No2053¢53¢$11$0$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No1282¢86.5¢$11+$0.55$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No1760¢60.5¢$10+$0.08$0
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?No1093.5¢95.6¢$9.55+$0.20$0
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No1089¢89.5¢$8.95+$0.05$0
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Yes1070.5¢85.5¢$8.54+$1.50+$1.75
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?No896¢93.5¢$7.75−$0.21$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No1057¢58¢$5.80+$0.10$0
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?No783¢72.5¢$4.93−$0.72−$0.01
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No576¢85.5¢$4.38+$0.48+$7.87
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETDown483.4¢100¢$3.60+$0.60−$0.03
Will Ukraine re-enter Zakitne by December 31, 2026?No472¢62.5¢$2.60−$0.40$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET97¢6$5.6570%58
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET86¢6$5.0070%58
SELL DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET16¢7$1.0870%58
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET74¢7$5.0070%58
SELL UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET39¢3$1.2670%58
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET31¢3$1.0070%58
SELL UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET50¢2$1.1970%58
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET42¢2$1.0070%58
SELL UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET97¢9$8.2770%58
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET71¢7$5.0070%58
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET67¢1$1.0070%58
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET65¢2$1.0070%58
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET77¢1$1.0070%58
SELL UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET29¢2$0.6070%58
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET48¢2$1.0070%58
SELL UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET59¢3$1.4870%58
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET40¢3$1.0070%58
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET80¢1$1.0070%58
SELL DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET68¢2$1.4870%58
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET46¢2$1.0070%58