sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #3,190

jimmer-fredette

0xdff…3c8b
WR 60+CultureSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$6,098vol $249k
PnL 30d+$5,413gains $6,006 · losses $350
PnL 7d+$1,107win rate 7d 73.3%
Win rate60.4%adj 59.9% · 30d 81.8%
Open value$14.9kcash n/a
Positions98 / 477open / all-time
Max drawdown−29.9%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 12h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$9,022below peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

66/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale54
Adjusted win rateraw 60.4% · shrunk toward 50%50
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable89
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity70

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 98

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?No1,67283.1¢83.5¢$1,396+$5.90+$261
Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes2,56822.7¢53.5¢$1,374+$791$0
Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes1,20066.3¢76¢$912+$116$0
Will Tom Holland receive an Oscar nomination?No86091.2¢91.5¢$787+$2.70$0
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Single of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes1,00070¢78¢$780+$80$0
No one announced as next James Bond?No1,00073.7¢69.2¢$692−$45+$6.15
Will The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes80064¢81¢$648+$136$0
Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes1,09345.3¢55.5¢$606+$111$0
Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No53593¢93.5¢$500+$2.68$0
Will “The Way I Am” by Luke Combs win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?No59982.6¢78¢$467−$27$0
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?No1,03937.9¢38¢$395+$1.41$0
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes74647.3¢51.5¢$384+$31$0
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 54 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes37887.1¢98.3¢$372+$42$0
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes2,02017.2¢18¢$364+$16+$2.45
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes62837.8¢56.5¢$355+$118$0
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes68129.2¢41¢$279+$80+$6.71
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes44555¢55.5¢$247+$2.23$0
Will Werwulf win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes80913.5¢28.9¢$233+$124$0
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No22568.3¢99.8¢$225+$71$0
Will Counter-Strike 2 Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?Yes68926¢31¢$214+$34+$28
Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes66714¢28.5¢$190+$97+$54
Will Cody Johnson win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes35044¢50¢$175+$21$0
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes43929.1¢39.4¢$173+$45+$69
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes25967.5¢66.5¢$172−$2.70$0
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No16471.4¢99.8¢$164+$47$0
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No1,09713.6¢14.9¢$163+$15$0
Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No20061¢77.5¢$155+$33$0
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No15516.2¢98.1¢$152+$127$0
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC South?No17067¢88.5¢$151+$37−$7.84
Will Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes52025¢27.5¢$143+$13$0
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes24134.1¢57.5¢$139+$56$0
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes22466.5¢61.5¢$138−$11$0
Will Sam Rockwell win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes96313.4¢14¢$134+$5.45$0
Will Cody Johnson win Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes73919.6¢17.5¢$129−$15$0
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes16669.3¢66.5¢$111−$4.59$0
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes1,10515¢10¢$111−$56$0
Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes42618.7¢24.5¢$104+$25$0
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No10352¢99.8¢$103+$49$0
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 18 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes12172.7¢84.5¢$102+$14$0
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?Yes35834¢26.5¢$95−$27+$32
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No16242.6¢50.5¢$82+$13$0
Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes37115¢21.5¢$80+$24$0
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No6043¢99.8¢$60+$34$0
Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes31713¢16.5¢$52+$11+$6.27
Will Obsession win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?No5591¢92.5¢$51+$0.82$0
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes3776.7¢11.4¢$43+$17$0
Will Ray Gunn win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes3009¢12.6¢$38+$11$0
Will "The Odyssey" receive fewer than 8 Oscar nominations?No3985¢93¢$37+$3.15$0
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes32910¢9¢$30−$3.29$0
Will "The Odyssey" receive 16 or more Oscar nominations?Yes6118¢47¢$29+$18$0
Will the cure (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes7717.4¢34.2¢$26+$13$0
Will WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! (RAYE) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes2739.9¢9.3¢$25−$1.65$0
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 22 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes10540¢23.5¢$25−$17$0
Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?Yes7262¢3.1¢$23+$7.89$0
Will “Horses and Divorces” by Kacey Musgraves featuring Miranda Lambert win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes1539.5¢14.5¢$22+$7.73$0
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes2966¢71.5¢$21+$1.60+$36
Will Tao Okamoto win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes3787.8¢5.1¢$19−$10$0
Will The Black Ball win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes6522.5¢29¢$19+$4.24$0
Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No2089.8¢91.8¢$18+$0.39$0
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes10017.1¢18.3¢$18+$1.15$0
Will “Parker McCollum” by Parker McCollum win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes30511.4¢5.8¢$18−$17$0
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes2082¢81.5¢$16−$0.10$0
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes7020.7¢19.5¢$14−$0.81$0
Will Ruth Madeley win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes3256.9¢2.8¢$9.09−$13$0
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes1180.1¢83¢$8.92+$0.32$0
Will The Blood of Dawnwalker win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes5215¢15.5¢$7.98+$0.26$0
Will Clayface win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes578.2¢8.5¢$4.82+$0.14$0
Will Martin McDonagh win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes745.8¢5.9¢$4.39+$0.11$0
Will "The Odyssey" receive between 12 and 13 Oscar nominations?No650¢72.5¢$4.19+$1.30$0
Will Dune: Messiah have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes1094.7¢3.4¢$3.67−$1.46$0
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?Yes1785¢1.9¢$3.38−$5.49+$2.19
Will Sandra Hüller win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes406¢7.1¢$2.86+$0.45$0
Will Digger win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes1221¢20.5¢$2.46−$0.06$0
Will Fjord win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes7910.5¢3¢$2.36−$5.94−$19
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No522¢24.5¢$1.23+$0.13$0
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?Yes1702.4¢0.7¢$1.10−$2.94$0
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No657¢0.9¢$0.55−$3.97$0
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes208¢2.7¢$0.53−$1.07$0
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes6059.5¢0.3¢$0.18−$36$0
Will "Pluribus" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?Yes1,8865.8¢0¢$0−$109−$4.51
Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?Yes1,56241¢0¢$0−$640+$80
Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Yes1,16141.6¢0¢$0−$483−$13
Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Yes1,01636.4¢0¢$0−$369−$69
Will Keri Russell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?Yes82412¢0¢$0−$99+$3.35
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes70011¢0¢$0−$77−$0.54
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?Yes65719.1¢0¢$0−$125−$5.07
Will "The Pitt" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?Yes5393.8¢0¢$0−$20−$0.60
Will “Dai Dai” by Shakira and Burna Boy win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Yes51024¢0¢$0−$122−$2.83
Will “Dance No More” by Harry Styles win Best Choreography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Yes46231.9¢0¢$0−$148−$3.33
Will Tina Ivlev – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?Yes4408.5¢0¢$0−$37−$0.16
Will "The Pitt" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?Yes40343.3¢0¢$0−$175+$104
Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 30m?Yes40020¢0¢$0−$80$0
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Best Cinematography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Yes38038.5¢0¢$0−$146−$4.50
Will Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?Yes20035¢0¢$0−$70$0
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Yes13061¢0¢$0−$79$0
Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?Yes11512.9¢0¢$0−$15−$8.07
Will "The Pitt" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?Yes1140.9¢0¢$0−$0.98+$1.04
Will Merritt Wever – “The Gilded Age” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?Yes248.5¢0¢$0−$2.04−$0.09

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?86.5¢36$3160%66
BUY NoWill Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?84.5¢443$37560%66
SELL YesWill "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?43¢58$2560%66
SELL YesWill Counter-Strike 2 Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?37¢311$11560%66
BUY YesWill "Other Mommy" score at least 18 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?72.7¢121$8860%66
SELL YesWill Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?18.6¢140$2660%66
SELL YesWill Forgotten Island win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?2.2¢218$4.7160%66
BUY NoWill "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?93¢35$3360%66
BUY NoWill "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?89.8¢20$1860%66
SELL YesWill "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?37¢89$3360%66
BUY YesWill "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?10¢329$3360%66
BUY NoWill "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?13.6¢1,097$14960%66
BUY NoWill "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?22¢5$1.1060%66
BUY NoWill "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?42.6¢162$6960%66
BUY YesWill "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?29.2¢739$21660%66
BUY YesWill "The Social Reckoning" score at least 54 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?87.1¢378$33060%66
BUY YesWill "Other Mommy" score at least 22 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?40¢105$4260%66
BUY YesWill "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?66.5¢224$14960%66
BUY YesWill Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?19¢12$2.3260%66
BUY YesWill The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?51¢63$3260%66